Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

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Ryxn
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Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#1 Postby Ryxn » Thu Dec 31, 2020 4:02 pm

Yes, I say more than one because it's seen at least 1 pre-season storm for the past 6 years and it's a La Niña at the moment, so it may not be enough of a risk for a thread topic.

Any thoughts?

I'm thinking of something like 2016 with a storm in January and one in May.
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#2 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Dec 31, 2020 5:50 pm

Probably not, that is very rare. Most people here were expecting a December storm and it didn't happen. In fact, it's possible 2021 could end the streak of seasons starting before June, but I wouldn't entirely bet on that either.
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#3 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Dec 31, 2020 6:41 pm

I think at this point I'd be a tad surprised if there weren't at least one pre-season storm. I'm getting sort of used to them. :lol: As far as more than one, erm...I dunno. Can't really say yet.
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#4 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Dec 31, 2020 7:04 pm

Long range CFS (90 day) by April shows an atmospheric setup over the Atlantic that could allow for a pre season storm.
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#5 Postby Weather Dude » Fri Jan 01, 2021 12:23 am

I'd go with 1 but not 2
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#6 Postby MarioProtVI » Fri Jan 01, 2021 1:52 pm

Gonna go with none for a change
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Re: Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

#7 Postby ClarCari » Fri Jan 01, 2021 2:08 pm

There’s already a decent trough in the upper mid-Atlantic that looks interesting. Not (yet at least) enough of a chance for the NHC to notice but the fact there’s already a little something at all brings me to believe another pre-season storm is rather likely at some point.
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