Will the 2021 season see more than one pre-season tropical cyclone?

[Ryxn]

Yes, I say more than one because it's seen at least 1 pre-season storm for the past 6 years and it's a La Niña at the moment, so it may not be enough of a risk for a thread topic.

Any thoughts?

I'm thinking of something like 2016 with a storm in January and one in May.

[CyclonicFury]

Probably not, that is very rare. Most people here were expecting a December storm and it didn't happen. In fact, it's possible 2021 could end the streak of seasons starting before June, but I wouldn't entirely bet on that either.

[AnnularCane]

I think at this point I'd be a tad surprised if there weren't at least one pre-season storm. I'm getting sort of used to them. As far as more than one, erm...I dunno. Can't really say yet.

[Kingarabian]

Long range CFS (90 day) by April shows an atmospheric setup over the Atlantic that could allow for a pre season storm.

[ElectricStorm]

I'd go with 1 but not 2

[MarioProtVI]

Gonna go with none for a change

[ClarCari]

There’s already a decent trough in the upper mid-Atlantic that looks interesting. Not (yet at least) enough of a chance for the NHC to notice but the fact there’s already a little something at all brings me to believe another pre-season storm is rather likely at some point.