2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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cycloneye
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2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Here is the models thread for 2021. Let's see if there are some upgrades on some of them.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Today’s 18z ICON has had one of its strongest solutions yet: a 913 mbar system in the SW Pacific on Day 4. I’ve never seen it get below 925 mbar before.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 May 2018 New England Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20
I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Anyone know why the GFS-Para has been "off-line"? Also, can any of you share any insights to planned Model upgrades expected to occur this upcoming Spring or Summer?
With Spring officially less then one month away, I'm starting to turn my attention to broad scale mid and upper level pattern nuances and how well longer range global models over the Atlantic and W. Africa are tending to over/under play strengths and depths of troughs and high pressure ridging relative to what eventually verifies on their respective mid to long range forecast. More bluntly, I want to take the occasional measure if any global modeling appear to suck any less then they have during recent years
With Spring officially less then one month away, I'm starting to turn my attention to broad scale mid and upper level pattern nuances and how well longer range global models over the Atlantic and W. Africa are tending to over/under play strengths and depths of troughs and high pressure ridging relative to what eventually verifies on their respective mid to long range forecast. More bluntly, I want to take the occasional measure if any global modeling appear to suck any less then they have during recent years
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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crownweather
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Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
chaser1 wrote:Anyone know why the GFS-Para has been "off-line"? Also, can any of you share any insights to planned Model upgrades expected to occur this upcoming Spring or Summer?
With Spring officially less then one month away, I'm starting to turn my attention to broad scale mid and upper level pattern nuances and how well longer range global models over the Atlantic and W. Africa are tending to over/under play strengths and depths of troughs and high pressure ridging relative to what eventually verifies on their respective mid to long range forecast. More bluntly, I want to take the occasional measure if any global modeling appear to suck any less then they have during recent years
Not sure why it's unavailable on Tropical Tidbits, but the Parallel model is available on Pivotal Weather - https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=na&p=prateptype_cat&m=gfs_para
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Rob Lightbown
Crown Weather Services
https://crownweather.com
Crown Weather Services
https://crownweather.com
Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Hmmmm? Agreed, odd that Levi wouldn't have a working link. Anyway, thanks Rob.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
Tropical tidbits is down
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I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
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Iceresistance
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Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Tropical tidbits is down
How? It was up & running 2-3 hours before!?
Maybe they have a maintenance ongoing on the site, very common for certain sites to go down because of maintenance . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
Also many Oklahoma Supercells
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
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I will not take any chances with Oklahoma weather, trust me, I've been there . . .
Winter 2020-2021
Also many Oklahoma Supercells
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas
My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.
I will not take any chances with Oklahoma weather, trust me, I've been there . . .
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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AnnularCane
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Re: 2021 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)
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"He laughs at fear, afraid of nothing. He does not shy away from the sword. He cannot stand still when the trumpet sounds." - Disney's Secretariat (originally from Job 39)
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