Feature 43N 54W

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 533
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Feature 43N 54W

#1 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Jan 25, 2021 8:42 am

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir


https://manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/asc ... MBas97.png


Interesting little feature. Could it be sub-tropical in nature?
0 likes   
96'-Bertha 96'-Fran 98'-Bonnie 99'-Dennis 99'-Floyd 03'-Isabel 04'-Alex 05'-Ophelia 11'-Irene 14'-Arthur 16'-Matthew 18'-Florence 19'-Dorian 20'-Isaias (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Top
User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 405
Age: 18
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#2 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Jan 25, 2021 8:54 am

It is not yet but it could be soon. The radius of maximum winds still appear to be outside the convection suggesting it is not there yet but the storm is tightening with increasing central convection.
1 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Top
User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 533
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#3 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Jan 25, 2021 8:56 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:It is not yet but it could be soon. The radius of maximum winds still appear to be outside the convection suggesting it is not there yet but the storm is tightening with increasing central convection.


Definitely interested in seeing how this progresses through the day.
1 likes   
96'-Bertha 96'-Fran 98'-Bonnie 99'-Dennis 99'-Floyd 03'-Isabel 04'-Alex 05'-Ophelia 11'-Irene 14'-Arthur 16'-Matthew 18'-Florence 19'-Dorian 20'-Isaias (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Top
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2409
Age: 17
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#4 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Jan 25, 2021 10:23 am

The NHC has not yet put out a Special Outlook for this system yet, likely still frontal.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :jacket:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas

My posts are NOT endorsed by S2K, NWS or NHC. Please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Especially in Oklahoma . . .
Top
NXStumpy_Robothing
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 204
Age: 20
Joined: Fri Jun 05, 2020 11:50 pm
Location: North Georgia

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#5 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Mon Jan 25, 2021 11:13 am

According to the most recent North Atlantic surface analysis, this feature is an occluded nontropical low. I don't really expect that state to change all that much, but it's interesting to look at nonetheless.

1 likes   
Undergraduate Meteorology Student, Georgia Institute of Technology
Top
User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 405
Age: 18
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#6 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:28 pm

The storm is producing an increase in convection, yet it is still attached to a front. Unfortunately that front appears to be not untangling from the system any time soon.
Edit: I just looked over it again and looks like the trough associated with the front is separating.
1 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Top
User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 533
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#7 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Jan 25, 2021 12:55 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:The storm is producing an increase in convection, yet it is still attached to a front. Unfortunately that front appears to be not untangling from the system any time soon.
Edit: I just looked over it again and looks like the trough associated with the front is separating.


I know you can't strictly go by satellite but it looks better on visible than a lot of the storms that got named last year :lol: As others have said odds are nothing comes of it but still pretty to look at.
1 likes   
96'-Bertha 96'-Fran 98'-Bonnie 99'-Dennis 99'-Floyd 03'-Isabel 04'-Alex 05'-Ophelia 11'-Irene 14'-Arthur 16'-Matthew 18'-Florence 19'-Dorian 20'-Isaias (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 15833
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#8 Postby tolakram » Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:30 pm

SLIDER: https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... 4&y=2893.5

COD: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=g ... =undefined

saved GIF
Image
8 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1261
Age: 17
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#9 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:12 pm

Impressive burst of convection on the northern side :uarrow: certainly looks more like something in we’d be watching in May instead of January 25th!!!
2 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’
Top
User avatar
Ryxn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 280
Age: 21
Joined: Fri Sep 08, 2017 4:50 pm
Location: Toronto, Canada

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#10 Postby Ryxn » Tue Jan 26, 2021 1:08 am

Subtropical Storm Ana is that you?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 405
Age: 18
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: Feature 43N 54W

#11 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Jan 26, 2021 7:13 am

And it is now gone, being absorbed right now into the front to its east.
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], kevin, lilbump3000, Monsoonjr99, riapal, TexasBreeze and 34 guests