STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 347
Age: 17
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#41 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:17 pm

Whatever you call this low, it IS intensifying. It probably is producing at least 40 knot winds just to its west.
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 20136
Age: 63
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#42 Postby wxman57 » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:18 pm

It has probably already peaked. Doesn't look like the NHC will bother with it.
0 likes   

User avatar
DorkyMcDorkface
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 136
Age: 23
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:32 pm

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#43 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:20 pm

Still a neat little feature regardless...
 https://twitter.com/JackSillin/status/1374005572668903432


0 likes   
Floyd 1999 | Isabel 2003 | Hanna 2008 | Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Isaias 2020

User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 347
Age: 17
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#44 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:21 pm

Yeah this may be its peak rn but hey if this got close then there will be other opportunities.
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.

User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 347
Age: 17
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#45 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Mar 22, 2021 1:29 pm

If this was not being sheared so strongly... Unfortunately the low is becoming separated from the convection.
Is this storm actually trying to undergo a center relocation? Look at the convection wrapping around an area north of the LLC. I think the frontal low may be distangling from the center. Correct me if I am wrong as I missed the front completely and thought it was a couple hundred miles to the east.
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2038
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#46 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:01 pm

Image
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2257
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#47 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:29 pm

Looks like a tropical storm!
Image
0 likes   

ClarCari
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 553
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#48 Postby ClarCari » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:49 pm

It’s definitely shedding it’s frontal features, problem is the meh SST’s, wind shear, and time are not giving it much to work with.

Even if it doesn’t develop, the fact it is coming this close in March is a sign that we will very likely see pre-season development this season, regardless of how cool the ENSO shapes up, or how warm the rest of the ATL becomes later on.
1 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3862
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#49 Postby aspen » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:52 pm

Even if it doesn’t get the A name, it still gets an A for effort. It’s trying so hard despite the fact that it’s March 22/23rd, and conditions are absolute garbage.
6 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 May 2018 New England Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20

I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
HurricaneEnzo
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 533
Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#50 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Tue Mar 23, 2021 6:20 am

Naked swirl alert. Honestly ready for this front to come through and push this thing out to sea. Been very windy at the house for about 5 days now.
0 likes   
96'-Bertha 96'-Fran 98'-Bonnie 99'-Dennis 99'-Floyd 03'-Isabel 04'-Alex 05'-Ophelia 11'-Irene 14'-Arthur 16'-Matthew 18'-Florence 19'-Dorian 20'-Isaias (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)

I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 13205
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#51 Postby NDG » Tue Mar 23, 2021 6:49 am

There was too much of temperature gradient, where the strongest winds were, close to the low pressure center for the NHC to even considering it to be a Sub tropical system.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 122062
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#52 Postby cycloneye » Tue Mar 23, 2021 1:50 pm

4 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4793
Age: 37
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#53 Postby Hammy » Tue Mar 23, 2021 6:14 pm

Given that it's only March, it shows the background state is already becoming favorable.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2257
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: STS Ana Off US East Coast this Week?

#54 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Mar 23, 2021 6:49 pm

Hammy wrote:Given that it's only March, it shows the background state is already becoming favorable.



I expect another 20 storm season. As long as it doesn't pull another 2006 with the enso. Of course the warming enso could limit the season if current trends continue but there's a lot things favoring above avg.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests