Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#41 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Apr 02, 2021 5:05 pm

Mines supposed to be preliminary
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#42 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 02, 2021 5:07 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Mines supposed to be preliminary


Added.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#43 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Apr 02, 2021 5:58 pm

I'll going to go for 17/7/4 for now. By "for now" I mean its preliminary :D .
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#44 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 02, 2021 7:50 pm

The 2021 poll has begun in a good pace to surpass the total of 96 members that participated in the 2020 one. Keep it going folks.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#45 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 02, 2021 10:08 pm

I will go to bed but those who may post numbers in the overnight hours will be added in the morning.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#46 Postby Nawtamet » Sat Apr 03, 2021 12:10 pm

PRELIMINARY:

Given the recent developments, I'm going for 13/7/3.

This might be the year we finally break the Cat-5 streak.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#47 Postby cycloneye » Sat Apr 03, 2021 12:30 pm

Nawtamet wrote:PRELIMINARY:

Given the recent developments, I'm going for 13/7/3.

This might be the year we finally break the Cat-5 streak.


The poll has reached 30 participants with your numbers.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#48 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Sat Apr 03, 2021 4:54 pm

I'm seeing 19 named, 10 hurricanes and 3 majors --- My reasons have to do with the trend toward naming storms a lot sooner/faster than in the past... I have other reasons... probably a neutral ENSO, I don't think we'll see anything like last year. (Living in Louisiana I sure hope not!) --numbers are preliminary. Oh! and ACE of 145
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#49 Postby Shell Mound » Sun Apr 04, 2021 7:16 am

13 NS / 6 H / 3 MH

ACE ~110

(Preliminary; #32 on the list)
Last edited by Shell Mound on Mon Apr 05, 2021 3:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#50 Postby Category5Kaiju » Sun Apr 04, 2021 8:50 am

My preliminary numbers are 20/9/5 with an ACE of 150. I do not think we will see 30 storms again this year, and I think trackwise we may see a lot of OTS storms, but I also think Florida and the Eastern Seaboard will be at greater risk of a major hurricane strike. The GoM and Caribbean may not be as active as last year, although I certainly will not discount the possibility of seeing at least one major appear in the region (like in 2017, Harvey managed to do this).

Oh yeah, and I do believe that there will be at least one Category 5 hurricane.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#51 Postby Gums » Sun Apr 04, 2021 5:54 pm

Salute!

Preliminary until we see where ENSO is going:

20 named
9 hurricanes
4 major

My gut feeling looking at ENSO is many small storms. No strong Nino that helps to reduce our Gulf dudes. But Nina not all that strong the other way. From my past seasons, lottsa storms out in the Atlantic, and some breaking thru the Bermuda high to hit Virginia and even New Jersey. We have seen those kinda seasons before, huh?

Gums sends...

Remember, as Einstein and Yogi said, "predictions are hard, especially about the future".
Last edited by Gums on Sun Apr 04, 2021 7:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#52 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 04, 2021 6:11 pm

Gums wrote:Salute!

Preliminary until we see where ENSO is going:

20 named
8 hurricanes
4 major

My gut feeling looking at ENSO is many small storms. No strong Nino that helps to reduce our Gulf dudes. But Nona not all that strong the other way. From my past seasons, lottsa storms out in the Atlantic, and some breaking thru the Bermuda high to hit Virginia and even New Jersey. We have seen those kinda seasons before, huh?

Gums sends...

Remember, as Einstein and Yogi said, "predictions are hard, especially about the future".


Added as #34. Yes, ENSO will be a big driver.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#53 Postby Blown Away » Mon Apr 05, 2021 8:01 am

Blown Away
19 Names
8 Hurricanes
4 Major
155 ACE

NE Caribbean/PR/SE FL/Mississippi to Pensacola/OBX are my High Impact Areas For 2021.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#54 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 05, 2021 9:31 am

Blown Away wrote:Blown Away
19 Names
8 Hurricanes
4 Major
155 ACE

NE Caribbean/PR/SE FL/Mississippi to Pensacola/OBX are my High Impact Areas For 2021.


You are #35.Hope you are wrong about PR and NE Caribbean.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#55 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:46 pm

18/10/3 - Preliminary
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#56 Postby Shell Mound » Fri Apr 09, 2021 4:35 am

15 NS / 9 H / 5 MH

ACE ~170

(Preliminary, updated, #32 on list)
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#57 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 09, 2021 5:23 am

Shell Mound wrote:15 NS / 9 H / 5 MH

ACE ~170

(Preliminary, updated, #32 on list)


Updated.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#58 Postby gulf701 » Sun Apr 11, 2021 10:44 pm

21/12/3 ACE 158
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#59 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:17 am

I am making my post Final now. Same numbers
18 ns
9 h
4 m
165 ACE
Last edited by InfernoFlameCat on Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Storm2k 2021 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll (Open until May 31 at Midnight EDT)

#60 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:22 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:I am making my post Final now. Same numbers
18 ns
9 h
165 ACE

What about Major Hurricanes?
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