Tropical Wave About to Emerge from Africa (Is Invest 93L)

[TallyTracker]

This one looks like it might become a TD east of 20W! That would be something you don’t see terribly often!

[LarryWx]

The 12Z UKMET no longer develops this. First time it has done this.

[LarryWx]

So, now the 12Z Euro fully gives in to the GFS and is no longer recurving it in the E Atlantic! Check out the huge difference vs 0Z:

0Z Euro still recurved it early:


The 12Z Euro says forget the early recurve, I'm going to do what the GFS has been doing from the start! On the 12Z run, it has it at 16N, 32W, vs 20N, 27W, on the 0Z run meaning 425 miles to the SW:

[AutoPenalti]

So, now the 12Z Euro fully gives in to the GFS and is no longer recurving it in the E Atlantic! Check out the huge difference vs 0Z:

0Z Euro still recurved it early:
https://i.imgur.com/vlgkAgy.png

The 12Z Euro says forget the early recurve, I'm going to do what the GFS has been doing from the start! On the 12Z run, it has it at 16N, 32W, vs 20N, 27W, on the 0Z run meaning 425 miles to the SW:

https://i.imgur.com/YdF6bRh.png

Considering a mammoth of a wave it is right now. It won't develop as quick.

[cycloneye]

Invest 93L is up