1. A surface trough located about 100 miles east of the southeastern
Bahamas is producing a large area of cloudiness and shower activity
along and to the east of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are
expected to be marginally conducive for slow development of this
system while it moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph through
Monday, followed by a slow northwestward motion through the end of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Bahamas is producing a large area of cloudiness and shower activity
along and to the east of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are
expected to be marginally conducive for slow development of this
system while it moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph through
Monday, followed by a slow northwestward motion through the end of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Decent GEFS support.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/GBXDPuW.png)
Several impulses on the GFS. Convective feedback?
Euro has no development.