Area of low pressure east of the Bahamas

[zzh]

Another tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers over
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit any
development over the next day or so, but environmental conditions
could become a little more conducive for some gradual development of
the system when it is located near the southeastern Bahamas around
midweek. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible over portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
Hispaniola during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[AnnularCane]

When I saw this last night it looked so horribly sheared I dismissed it, but maybe it's got a chance after all?

[Nimbus]

Whatever this turns out to be hopefully it will either follow that vorticity off the east coast of Florida out to sea or be sheared by it.

[zzh]

1. A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the Turks and Caicos continues to produce a large area
of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms well to the east and
northeast of its center. Strong upper-level winds are expected to
prevent significant development of this system during the next day
or two. The low is forecast to move little through tonight, then
accelerate eastward on Thursday. On Friday, the disturbance is
forecast to interact with a frontal system and further development
is not anticipated after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[zzh]