Well,is October 28 and normally this part of the basin is closed for tropical development but maybe a small window opens for this area as GFS has been showing development in the past runs and ECMWF shows vorticity. Let's have good discussions about it.
jconsor has a good thread.
https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1453597005155082240
Disturbed Weather south of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 95L)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 138898
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Disturbed Weather south of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 95L)
3 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 138898
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Disturbed weather off the African Coast
https://twitter.com/WxTca/status/1453811439068721176
https://twitter.com/WxTca/status/1453811444278042636
https://twitter.com/WxTca/status/1453811444278042636
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
Been keeping an eye on this the last few days, GFS showed it first but now models like CMC, ECWMF, ICON etc are more coming in to line with the GFS for a change.
Here's the latest ECWMF run.
Here's the latest ECWMF run.
0 likes
- MHC Tracking
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 166
- Joined: Mon Mar 15, 2021 10:05 am
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
The GFS has been oddly consistent on this, and both the GEFS and Euro ensembles are fairly keen on a quick spinup TD/TS in about 60 hours. I'm getting TD 15 2019 vibes. Wouldn't surprise me to see a 10/20 slapped on this soon.
0 likes
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
Now that the sun is up there is a circulation to the west with convective development, you can see the movement in the white low level clouds. The other development should be in the chaotic area to the east under all of the high level convective grey clouds.
Source Meteosat-11 Band 3 6 hour loop. - https://col.st/UMAZR
Source Meteosat-11 Band 3 6 hour loop. - https://col.st/UMAZR
0 likes
- johngaltfla
- Category 5
- Posts: 1937
- Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:17 pm
- Location: Sarasota County, FL
- Contact:
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
If it does, it's a fish.
Season is now closed for GoM and Florida.
Season is now closed for GoM and Florida.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1448
- Joined: Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:51 am
- Location: Somewhere in Massachusetts
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
zzh wrote:https://i.imgur.com/1SV4IYD.png
Closed circulation.
If it can get strong enough winds, it should have a name.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 138898
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of
this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the
disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the
middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over
cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of
this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the
disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the
middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over
cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- MHC Tracking
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 166
- Joined: Mon Mar 15, 2021 10:05 am
Re: Tropical Development near the Cabo Verde Islands?
10/20 now, I see. Wouldn't be surprised to get a quick spinup TD/TS out of this, it's very similar to TD 15 2019.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 138898
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Disturbed Weather south of Cabo Verde Islands
[img][img]https://i.imgur.com/79zzlJL.gif[/img][/img]
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 138898
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Disturbed Weather south of Cabo Verde Islands: (Is Invest 95L)
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Blown Away, KirbyDude25, ljmac75 and 22 guests