When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

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Category5Kaiju
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When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#1 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Nov 01, 2021 11:42 am

In light of this mind-boggling, global major-strength cyclone formation drought since late September and with none occurring in October, I'd figure this would be a good question to ask.
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Re: When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#2 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Nov 01, 2021 11:48 am

In 2022. :wink:
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Re: When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#3 Postby Hurricane2021 » Mon Nov 01, 2021 12:02 pm

NIO or/and WPAC
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Re: When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#4 Postby Ubuntwo » Mon Nov 01, 2021 2:58 pm

Either the Indian Ocean or West Pacific in november.
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Re: When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#5 Postby FireRat » Mon Nov 01, 2021 7:15 pm

Form around November 15 & Peak around November 25, C5
WPAC
Probably like Nida 2009 or Haiyan 2013, hopefully missing land. Such an eerie quiet all across the board is bound to be broken in a big way, IMO.
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Re: When Will the Next Major Strength Cyclone Form Globally, and What Basin Will it Be In?

#6 Postby dexterlabio » Mon Nov 01, 2021 9:33 pm

While I still expect WPAC to pull a last big one before the year ends, I can't help but think if this year's cold ENSO regime is similar to 2011, the year that almost shut down the WPAC season too early if not for Tropical Storm Washi in Dec 2011. Nonetheless, WPAC had its last major typhoon back then in September.
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