Disturbance North of Panama
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ScottNAtlanta
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Disturbance North of Panama
This feature has really blown up today, and looks like it might be trying to spin. It doesn't seem to be moving much but wanted to mention it since the GFS has been trying to spin something up there.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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AtlanticWind
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ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
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- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: Disturbance North of Panama
It's still hanging on and about to move north of the Honduran coast. It has persisted for a couple of days now
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
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Re: Disturbance North of Panama
It also looks like it is beneath an upper high
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Disturbance North of Panama
The disturbance has mover northward and is over the Nicaragua and Honduras coast the models have it moving towards the Yucatan channel and in to the gulf.
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Re: Disturbance North of Panama
ChrisH-UK wrote:The disturbance has mover northward and is over the Nicaragua and Honduras coast the models have it moving towards the Yucatan channel and in to the gulf.
[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/4558/qw5EZl.gif [/url]
shouldnt this be getting more attention since its closer to land? it looks like its trying to organize?
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LadyBug72
- Tropical Low
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Re: Disturbance North of Panama
Any updates on this little feature?
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Formerly known as the user: Nikki
Alicia 83, Allison 01, Rita 05, Ike 08, Harvey 18, Nicholas 21
Alicia 83, Allison 01, Rita 05, Ike 08, Harvey 18, Nicholas 21
Re: Disturbance North of Panama
I think it actually looks better than 93l. Surprised it hasn’t been tagged as an invest yet.
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TheAustinMan
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Re: Disturbance North of Panama
Despite the convective appearance, the motions of the low-level cumulus and surface observations (see below) suggest that winds are essentially all easterlies with very little northward tendency. A mid-level circulation of some sort undoubtedly exists (500mb CIMSS analysis), but the disturbance probably looks a lot better than it actually is, and there is likely not much of a circulation at the surface or low-levels. There may be more convective activity over the region over the next few days as a trough converges moisture over the Western Caribbean, but strong 40+ kt wind shear will probably prevent substantial development from this system.
Surface observations in the vicinity of the disturbance, showing predominant easterlies. Source: NOAA Weather and Hazards Viewer
Surface observations in the vicinity of the disturbance, showing predominant easterlies. Source: NOAA Weather and Hazards Viewer
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Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service.