2023 TCR's

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DioBrando
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#121 Postby DioBrando » Fri Mar 15, 2024 2:29 pm

ljmac75 wrote:...And here's Norma on the same day as Lidia. I think that's a wrap for the EPAC. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172023_Norma.pdf

Lidia beat Norma
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#122 Postby cycloneye » Fri Mar 15, 2024 2:40 pm

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Re: 2023 TCR's

#123 Postby Hurricane2022 » Fri Mar 15, 2024 3:13 pm

cycloneye wrote:Norma. All EPAC completed.

https://twitter.com/NHC_Pacific/status/1768722570411467144

Pressure now down to 939 mb.
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#124 Postby DioBrando » Sun Mar 17, 2024 12:59 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Norma. All EPAC completed.

https://twitter.com/NHC_Pacific/status/1768722570411467144

Pressure now down to 939 mb.

Brutal moment for Lidia and Hilary
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#125 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Mar 21, 2024 2:27 pm

Hurricane Lee is out - stayed at 145/926
 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1770893673577803921


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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Lee is up

#126 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:17 pm

Franklin and Phillippe are the only ones left.
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Lee is up

#127 Postby ljmac75 » Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:Franklin is the only one left.

Poor Phillipe, already forgotten by everyone.

I noticed they reduced the time it was a category 5 to a single synoptic point, I think it was two operationally.
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Lee is up

#128 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:35 pm

In terms of the models, HWRF and GFS performed well but HAFS/ DSHP/LGEM did not.
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Lee is up

#129 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:37 pm

ljmac75 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Franklin is the only one left.

Poor Phillipe, already forgotten by everyone.

I noticed they reduced the time it was a category 5 to a single synoptic point, I think it was two operationally.


Yeah, fixed my post.
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Lee is up

#130 Postby MarioProtVI » Thu Mar 21, 2024 4:22 pm

ljmac75 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Franklin is the only one left.

Poor Phillipe, already forgotten by everyone.

I noticed they reduced the time it was a category 5 to a single synoptic point, I think it was two operationally.

It was always one synoptic point, but I think 00z was 140 kt at least. Not sure why they opted to keep it 135 kt given it was essentially there by 00z.
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#131 Postby Hurricane2022 » Wed Apr 03, 2024 1:55 pm

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Re: 2023 TCR's

#132 Postby MarioProtVI » Wed Apr 03, 2024 2:48 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:Made by Philippe Papin. :D :D
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172023_Philippe.pdf

The new Karl
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#133 Postby KirbyDude25 » Wed Apr 03, 2024 3:11 pm

MarioProtVI wrote:
Hurricane2022 wrote:Made by Philippe Papin. :D :D
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL172023_Philippe.pdf

The new Karl

Or Franklin 2005. Philippe (the storm, not the forecaster)

Jokes aside, I think this increased its peak intensities by a little bit. I remember this being operationally assessed as having a 45-kt peak, though I might be wrong about that.
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#134 Postby ljmac75 » Wed Apr 03, 2024 3:17 pm

That just leaves Franklin. Hopefully we get it by the end of the week, though sadly James Franklin is no longer there to write it. In unrelated news, they updated the Otis TCR to add some extra data from Acapulco airport, or at least a pressure reading.
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#135 Postby zzzh » Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:29 pm

Franklin is out. 130/926
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Re: 2023 TCR's

#136 Postby Hurricane2022 » Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:44 pm

zzzh wrote:Franklin is out. 130/926

I think there was a window to upgrade Franklin to 135 kts, but 130 is also very reasonable.
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Franklin is up / All NATL reports are complete

#137 Postby ljmac75 » Wed Apr 03, 2024 7:29 pm

And that's a wrap. It seems the last report for 2022 (Ian) also came out on April 3rd. Coincidence?

How long do you think it'll take for HURDAT to be updated?
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Re: 2023 TCR's: Hurricane Franklin is up / All NATL reports are complete

#138 Postby MarioProtVI » Thu Apr 04, 2024 12:07 pm

ljmac75 wrote:And that's a wrap. It seems the last report for 2022 (Ian) also came out on April 3rd. Coincidence?

How long do you think it'll take for HURDAT to be updated?

That’s usually done by late spring/early summer, so likely next month (was the case last year).
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