Tropical Wave Off the Coast of Africa (Is Invest 94L)

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Extratropical94
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Tropical Wave Off the Coast of Africa (Is Invest 94L)

#1 Postby Extratropical94 » Fri Aug 25, 2023 1:07 pm

Next tropical wave, GFS has it near Cabo Verde on Tuesday

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
early next week. Some slow development of this system is then
possible late next week while the system moves westward across the
Tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Image

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Last edited by Extratropical94 on Tue Aug 29, 2023 12:55 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#2 Postby Teban54 » Fri Aug 25, 2023 1:10 pm

GFS, ECMWF and CMC are in general agreement of this wave trying to develop, with some (if not most) runs taking a W to WSW turn past the CV islands.

Eerily similar to another storm at the same time 6 years ago. Let's hope the similarity ends there.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#3 Postby IcyTundra » Fri Aug 25, 2023 2:05 pm

Teban54 wrote: GFS, ECMWF and CMC are in general agreement of this wave trying to develop, with some (if not most) runs taking a W to WSW turn past the CV islands.

Eerily similar to another storm at the same time 6 years ago. Let's hope the similarity ends there.


Bermuda high has been weak this year let’s hope it stays that way.
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Re: RE: Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#4 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 25, 2023 4:46 pm

IcyTundra wrote:
Teban54 wrote: GFS, ECMWF and CMC are in general agreement of this wave trying to develop, with some (if not most) runs taking a W to WSW turn past the CV islands.

Eerily similar to another storm at the same time 6 years ago. Let's hope the similarity ends there.


Bermuda high has been weak this year let’s hope it stays that way.
It has been weak and even next week the trough is in control with the gulf system. But once that trough pulls, the ridge will be back.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 25, 2023 6:54 pm

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible
during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#6 Postby Extratropical94 » Sat Aug 26, 2023 12:53 am

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa
early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible
during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early Next Week

#7 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 26, 2023 6:49 am

TW’s coming Africa @15 degrees which is pretty high not to recurve OTS.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early This Week

#8 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:43 am

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in
a couple of days. Some slow development of this system is possible
later this week while the system moves westward across the eastern
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave Expected to Move Off Africa Early This Week

#9 Postby Teban54 » Mon Aug 28, 2023 6:51 am

While all eyes are on Idalia and maybe Franklin, there's this guy:
1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in
the next day or so. Environmental conditions appear marginally
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form later this week while the system moves
westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Even the thread name hasn't been updated :lol:
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Re: Tropical Wave Off the Coast of Africa

#10 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Aug 29, 2023 12:55 am

A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form
later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: Tropical Wave Off the Coast of Africa

#11 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Aug 29, 2023 7:10 am

Remains at 20/50

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form
later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel


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