Tropical Wave to Emerge From West Africa Today (Invest 96L is up)

[WalterWhite]

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore in
a few days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development starting midweek while the wave moves to the west-
northwestward at about 15 mph over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

This is the 999 mb low on the ECMWF and the 972 mb low on the GFS.

[WalterWhite]

Up to 0%/30%

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore in
a few days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development starting midweek while the wave moves to the west-
northwestward at about 15 mph over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[floridasun]

look like out to sea

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore in
a couple of days. Environmental conditions could support some slow
development starting midweek while the wave moves to the west-
northwest at about 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[WalterWhite]

The models seem to be trending weaker for this system. These models now both indicate a 1009-millibar tropical storm at best.

[WalterWhite]

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move off the
African coast in a couple of days. Environmental conditions should
support some slow development, and a tropical depression could form
over the far eastern tropical Atlantic around the latter part of
the week while the wave moves to the west-northwest at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A strong tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move off
the African coast in a couple of days. Environmental conditions
should support some slow development, and a tropical depression
could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic around the latter
part of the week or the weekend while the wave moves to the
west-northwest at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[zzzh]

12z Euro trended much stronger on this system, along with CMC.

[aspen]

The 12z Euro, CMC, and ICON all get a strong and early recurving hurricane out of this. It gives me Helene ‘18 vibes. Just like with 95L early on, the GFS is the weakest model.

[zzzh]

GFS is the weakest one again, this seems familiar

[cycloneye]

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A strong tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of West
Africa on Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression
could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the middle
to latter part of the week while the system moves to the west or
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move
across the Cabo Verde Islands Wednesday night and Thursday, and
interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

[ElectricStorm]

Code red, should be an invest here pretty soon

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A strong tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of West
Africa today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression
could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the middle
to latter part of the week while the system moves to the west or
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move
across the Cabo Verde Islands Wednesday night and Thursday, and
interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

[WalterWhite]

Invest 96L is up