Who here thinks Alberto will form in the spring?

[DioBrando]

Since spring ends the third week of June, there's a good chance.

Do you reckon Alberto would come before June since the Atlantic is lava

Water temperature is important, but it's not the most important factor for TC formation. Wind shear needs to be low and there needs to be a pre-existing disturbance for development to have a chance of occurring. Boiling the Atlantic with a high shear environment will not produce a hurricane.

And at the moment shear is everywhere.

[NotSparta]

Do you reckon Alberto would come before June since the Atlantic is lava

Water temperature is important, but it's not the most important factor for TC formation. Wind shear needs to be low and there needs to be a pre-existing disturbance for development to have a chance of occurring. Boiling the Atlantic with a high shear environment will not produce a hurricane.

And at the moment shear is everywhere.

Well yeah, it's March

[zzzh]

Show a year with boiling MDR that has high shear?