2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#241 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 02, 2024 7:41 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Old-TimeCane
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 141
Age: 43
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 10:01 pm
Location: Myrtle Beach, SC

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#242 Postby Old-TimeCane » Fri May 03, 2024 12:57 am

Please update mine (number 22 on the list) to the following (not much change):

25/14/6 ACE 205 FINAL!
0 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#243 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 03, 2024 4:31 am

Old-TimeCane wrote:Please update mine (number 22 on the list) to the following (not much change):

25/14/6 ACE 205 FINAL!


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#244 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 04, 2024 11:18 am

Only 26 days are left for the poll to close. If members are waiting for more season forecasts, there will be two more before the poll closes and are:

NOAA=May 23
TSR=May 30

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... sive&csz=1
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2480
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Houston TX

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#245 Postby skyline385 » Sat May 04, 2024 12:24 pm

Prefer to be little cautious with predictions but doesn't seem like its going to be the case this year so

28/16/7 with ACE of 230
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#246 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 04, 2024 12:33 pm

skyline385 wrote:Prefer to be little cautious with predictions but doesn't seem like its going to be the case this year so

28/16/7 with ACE of 230


You are #78 on the list of participants.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
TheAustinMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1007
Age: 24
Joined: Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:26 pm
Location: United States
Contact:

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#247 Postby TheAustinMan » Sat May 04, 2024 10:51 pm

Nearly 2 months in, and the general expectation of season activity has been remarkably consistent for how active the outlook has been. Currently, the average stands at 22.9 named storms, 11.8 hurricanes, and 5.5 major hurricanes, with an average ACE of 199.5. These all remain record highs for the poll, coming ahead of 2006 in all storm count categories (and 2010 for ACE, as guesses for ACE began after 2008).

I'll probably submit another guess after the NMME forecast is available on or after May 8.
5 likes   
ImageImageImage
Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#248 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 2:36 pm

Ok folks, the seasonal ECMWF came out today, so one more forecast that may decide people to come and participate or those who have preliminary ones, to finalize them.

25 days and counting.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/g ... sive&csz=1
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
DorkyMcDorkface
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 719
Age: 26
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:32 pm
Location: Mid-Atlantic

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#249 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sun May 05, 2024 2:50 pm

I'm think I'm gonna go ahead and up my NS count by 2, both my HU and MH count by 1, and ACE by 5 points. So 21/12/6 195 ACE now. Go ahead and finalize it, while you're at it.
0 likes   
Floyd 1999 | Isabel 2003 | Hanna 2008 | Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Isaias 2020

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#250 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 3:02 pm

DorkyMcDorkface wrote:I'm think I'm gonna go ahead and up my NS count by 2, both my HU and MH count by 1, and ACE by 5 points. So 21/12/6 195 ACE now. Go ahead and finalize it, while you're at it.


Done.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

IcyTundra
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 888
Joined: Mon Jun 07, 2021 9:32 pm
Location: Dickinson, Texas

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#251 Postby IcyTundra » Sun May 05, 2024 3:04 pm

22/11/6 215 ACE. Final prediction
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#252 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 3:12 pm

IcyTundra wrote:22/11/6 215 ACE. Final prediction


Added at #79 on the list of participants.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Cleveland Kent Evans
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 229
Joined: Fri May 02, 2008 4:02 pm

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#253 Postby Cleveland Kent Evans » Sun May 05, 2024 4:57 pm

27/13/8
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#254 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 5:11 pm

Cleveland Kent Evans wrote:27/13/8


Added as #80.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#255 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 6:35 pm

The poll has reached 80 participants and the average is 23/12/6. The members can see the graphic above the list of participants,whens it updates as members post numbers or finilize their preliminary ones.

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 1&t=123986
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2643
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#256 Postby AnnularCane » Sun May 05, 2024 9:42 pm

25/12/7 Final

I'm #6.
0 likes   
"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#257 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 05, 2024 9:58 pm

AnnularCane wrote:25/12/7 Final

I'm #6.


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Kat5
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 176
Joined: Tue Jul 07, 2009 5:28 pm

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#258 Postby Kat5 » Mon May 06, 2024 9:00 am

26/12/5 final
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21523
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#259 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 06, 2024 9:11 am

23/11/6 ACE 188.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139253
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

#260 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 06, 2024 9:59 am

Both above added as #81 and #82.List of participants.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Chris90, Cpv17, JetFuel_SE, Landy, LarryWx, NotSparta, skyline385, zzzh and 73 guests