2024 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Numbers Poll: (The best poll in the internet)

[Sciencerocks]

19/9/4

Ace 184

We will probably have a caribbean cat5
A landfall of at least one major hurricanes on the gulf coast
Probably top 2-3 cape verde seasons of the past 30 years...close to 2004 and 2017 in nature.

[cycloneye]

19/9/4

Ace 184

We will probably have a caribbean cat5
A landfall of at least one major hurricanes on the gulf coast
Probably top 2-3 cape verde seasons of the past 30 years...close to 2004 and 2017 in nature.

Final or preliminary?

[Sciencerocks]

19/9/4

Ace 184

We will probably have a caribbean cat5
A landfall of at least one major hurricanes on the gulf coast
Probably top 2-3 cape verde seasons of the past 30 years...close to 2004 and 2017 in nature.

Final or preliminary?

Final

[cycloneye]

19/9/4

Ace 184

We will probably have a caribbean cat5
A landfall of at least one major hurricanes on the gulf coast
Probably top 2-3 cape verde seasons of the past 30 years...close to 2004 and 2017 in nature.

Final or preliminary?

Final

Ok, done.

[cycloneye]

I have my numbers as preliminary, because want to wait for the april and may runs of all the climate models NMME, ECMWF, C3S, UKMET, CFS and CanSips to see if they continue with the very favorable patterns or there are some changes. The may runs come well before the May 31rst closing date.

[tolakram]

18/11/4 ACE 175 FINAL

[weeniepatrol]

21/10/5 ACE 170 prelim

[USTropics]

Preliminary: 25/13/6 ACE of 216

[SFLcane]

Preliminary: 25/13/6 ACE of 216

Woah! You know this season means business when you see numbers like this from USTropics.

[SFLcane]

Here it goes guys!

22/10/5 ACE 210

[ElectricStorm]

18/10/4 ACE 155 preliminary

[cycloneye]

Will be back shortly after I walk the dog to continue to add members. The poll is with 16 members participating at this point.

[mixedDanilo.E]

i was forced by other people to make this: 36/17/9 - Preliminary

[mixedDanilo.E]

i was forced by other people to make this: 36/17/9 - Preliminary

I will make an actual reasonable prediction in April.

[wwizard]

Preliminary

24/13/6

[cycloneye]

i was forced by other people to make this: 36/17/9 - Preliminary

Dont have to be forced by anyone. Have your own mind to have the numbers.

[cycloneye]

Up to 18 now. Like it starting at a good pace for being the first day open.

[USTropics]

Preliminary: 25/13/6 ACE of 216

Woah! You know this season means business when you see numbers like this from USTropics.

I will do a more indepth analysis of the predictors I used next week, but I picked 5 analog seasons based on: (1) previous year being a strong El Nino that transitioned to moderate-strong La Nina by summer, (2) +SSTA regime that was focused in the deep tropics/MDR, (3) warm Atlantic Canary current in Spring, (4) reduced trade winds in the months of Feb-May, and (5) active western African monsoon/enhanced omega values over Africa.

My 5 analogs (in descending order by year):
2020
2010
1970
1964
1887

[mixedDanilo.E]

i was forced by other people to make this: 36/17/9 - Preliminary

Dont have to be forced by anyone. Have your own mind to have the numbers.

i lock it in

[mixedDanilo.E]

[/size][/b]

i said 36/17/9