When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
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CyclonicFury
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When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
I'm going to predict June 25th. And it will be named Beryl.
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
CyclonicFury wrote:I'm going to predict June 25th. And it will be named Beryl.
May 23rd, alberto
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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Hurricane2022
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
Hurricane Chris...100 mph...978 mbar...June 1 - 7 fish storm.
Becomes a hurricane on june 3 in the MDR
Becomes a hurricane on june 3 in the MDR
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
Seconded on Beryl, but I think it may form a little earlier (Jun 15-20). Thinking something similar to Bret from last season.
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AnnularCane
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
Sometime in August.
Maybe just late enough for everybody to start cancelling the MDR, before it starts pumping out one storm after another.
Maybe just late enough for everybody to start cancelling the MDR, before it starts pumping out one storm after another.
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"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
Not a very serious guess: Beryl, July 4, on the same day that Beryl 2018 formed in the MDR. (That Beryl was much more unexpected given 2018's very cold MDR SST anomalies.)
I would absolutely not be surprised if we get MDR activity earlier than that, but those are hard to predict. June generally gets you less SAL than July, but the background state (beyond just MDR SSTs) is still not very favorable as a whole yet.
I would absolutely not be surprised if we get MDR activity earlier than that, but those are hard to predict. June generally gets you less SAL than July, but the background state (beyond just MDR SSTs) is still not very favorable as a whole yet.
Last edited by Teban54 on Tue Mar 05, 2024 1:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
TS Chris, 40kts on July 10
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Boomer Sooner!
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
Me thinks Chris forms on July 1, moves hard west as a Caribbean Cruiser with pulsating T.S. intensity until slowing and veering WNW into Yucatan Peninsula as a borderline to Cat 1 hurricane. #tealeaves
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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jconsor
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
In the last third of Jun. I think Jun as a whole will be quite active west of 60W as well.
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Re: When will 2024 have its first Atlantic MDR TC (east of 60W, south of 20N)?
jconsor wrote:In the last third of Jun. I think Jun as a whole will be quite active west of 60W as well.
Stregnth and name pls?
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blonde stacey (xe/xem/xir)
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