Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica)

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) has formed 550 ESE of Cairns on the east coast of Australia with winds of 35kt. The storm is moving SE at 12 kt but is expected to turn equatorward over the next 48 hours with only a minor increase in intensity. The satellite imagery shows a compact system with only modest organization.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) is located 540 ESE of Cairns with winds of 35kt. The latest satellite imagery shows an exposed LLCC with little convection in the system. The system is expected to weaken as it turns to
the NW.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) has sheared apart and has been finalled out.

Steve

[chadtm80]

Thanks for keeping us updated!

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Seems pretty active lately...time to get the stats on these storms documented.

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone 22P (Erica) has regenerated 195 NM SW of Honiara, Solomons.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) is located 225 SW of Honiara, Solomons with winds of 35kt. The storm is moving SE at 4kt and is expected to continue on a SE track and intensify to 55kt over the next 48 hours. Latest satellite imagery does show additional development.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) is located 410 W of Vanuatau with winds of 55kt. It is moving SSE at 12 kt and is expected to turn a bit more to the east and intensify to 70kt before weakening to 65kt at 48 hours as it gains latitude and encounters increasing shear. The latest satellite imagery shows that the storm is in an intensification phase with both an increase in the development of a CDO and banding features.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) is located 430 NW of Noumea, New Caledonia with winds of 100kt. It is moving SSE at 12kt and is expected to turn slightly more to the east and weaken to 70kt as it moves across New Caledonia in the 36-48 hour timeframe. The latest satellite imagery shows a well defined eye and excellent structure and outflow.

Steve

[vbhoutex]

I recieved a report from a poster at WeatherMatrix that has video of Erica as she crossed New Caledonia with winds reported at 250 km/hr!(Seems awfully high, besides isn't knots the universal wind speed label everywhere besides the US? If anyone wants me to send it to them, email me. Erica tore them a new one!!

[Aslkahuna]

seems high at that equates to 136kt. As a matter of fact, km/hr is the more universally accepted unit for reporting windspeed. Additionally, almost everyone other than the US uses the 10 minute average wind as the sustained wind instead of the 1 minute average wind that we use. The 10 minute wind is about 20% lower than the 1-minute as a general rule. The other units convention that is different is that most everyone else uses hecto-Pascals (hPa) for pressure instead of millibars-in this case, there's no pain since numerically hPa is the same as mb-then again who wants to use a unit named after a Frenchman nowadays. Some Countries (like the PRC[in this case I mean China and not California]) use m/s for windspeed and this is often used here in the RDT&E community.

Steve

[vbhoutex]

Once again Steve, thanks for the clarifications!!! You might get us up to speed in a few decades if we study hard enough!!! You better watch out!! I see your sense of humor poking through!!!! Good post!!!

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Cyclone TC22P (Erica) is located 660 N of Auckland NZ with winds of 70kt. The storm is accelerating SE at 23kt and is expected to become extratropical within the next 24-36 hours. Latest satellite imagery shows that the system has become strongly sheared and that the transition is underway-this will be my last update on Erica.

Steve