12Z UKMET Develops Warm-Core System E of Bahamas....

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Derecho
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12Z UKMET Develops Warm-Core System E of Bahamas....

#1 Postby Derecho » Sat Mar 15, 2003 3:18 pm

http://www.essc.psu.edu/rhart-cgi-b...sure&hour=120hr


http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/cyclonephase ... 12/24.html

FWIW (Not Much)....

Thought it would be amusing. No other model has it.

We'll see if I can last here longer without getting banned than TWC :-)
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#2 Postby Guest » Sat Mar 15, 2003 3:30 pm

Derecho,

Early start for the models this season? You got banned from TWC - you are in good company - a lot of members here have too.

MF_dolphin, Chadtm80 and me are the Admins to this site.

Welcome and thanks for posting in the tropic section.

Ticka1
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Mar 15, 2003 4:43 pm

Don't think this will do much at all. Other models are either very weak with the low or non existent. Chances less than 1% IMO
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Sat Mar 15, 2003 5:59 pm

So far not other model does anything with it but It is interesting to see at least a low pressure in that area and remember that what i posted a few days ago about the ssta's warming there.

But is this a sign of things to come when the hurricane season arrives?.
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#5 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Mar 16, 2003 12:01 am

DERECHO!! LONG TIME NO SEE!! WELCOME TO STORM2K!!!

Yes, I was bad and got banned at TWC. Oh well!

I thought I saw this on GFS, but I could be wrong.

My question to all the Hurricane Season "Experts" is this. Is this an anomally or will we see a much above normal season? It is very early for a significant warming IMO!! SST's in GOM at lest near Houston are still around 60f.
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Mar 16, 2003 12:07 pm

Very interesting feature depicted here.

Amazing, actually, being in March.
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#7 Postby Crankin » Sun Mar 16, 2003 10:09 pm

Hi all. I am surprised there is action on here already. Is this propposed low the remnants of whats coming at us outta the gulf tonight?
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Last Week

#8 Postby Steve H. » Mon Mar 17, 2003 10:29 pm

The AVN actually showed a disturbance near the Bahamas last week. It is entertaining. But we got heavy rain in Palm Bay FL today. Tornado touched down about 3 miles from here this afternoon. Very tropical air already :lol: Cheers!!
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deb_in_nc
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With temps the way they are here in S FL,

#9 Postby deb_in_nc » Wed Mar 19, 2003 7:26 pm

I'm not surprised the SST's are rising. We've had 28 straight days with above normal temps. Even tied a couple of records. What happened to spring? :bcry:
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#10 Postby mf_dolphin » Wed Mar 19, 2003 7:39 pm

We went straight into Summer! We did that last year too if I remember right!
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#11 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Mar 20, 2003 4:46 pm

Welcome Deb... 91 here today (Central FL) YUK
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I hear Ya CHATM80

#12 Postby Steve H. » Thu Mar 20, 2003 5:30 pm

About the same here in Palm Bay Chadtm. Like August. UGH!
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