Most of the indicators continue to show that the El Niño is almost finished. Whilst a regeneration of El Niño cannot be ruled out entirely, this is much less likely than either neutral or La Niña conditions. There has been cooling over the entire tropical Pacific during the past week, with most areas now close to average. The subsurface ocean temperature anomaly picture shows no sign of El Niño regeneration, and the Trade Winds were generally close to average over the past week, while cloudiness around the dateline continues to fluctuate. The SOI for the last 30-days remains weakly negative. Most computer predictions continue to indicate neutral conditions in the Pacific by the middle of the year.
