INIGO STRONGER THAN FORECASTED

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Anonymous

INIGO STRONGER THAN FORECASTED

#1 Postby Anonymous » Thu Apr 03, 2003 10:38 pm

Maximum sustained winds are now just over 160 MPH. Inigo has probably peaked in intensity. The cyclone will begin to gradually weaken over the next 72 hours as conditions become a little less condusive for development. A curve towards Australia is now being forecasted by both the JTWC and BOM. Atm, it looks like Barrow Island has the greatest probability of getting hit. Inigo is a slow mover, so landfall will not occur until another 4-5 days. The only good news is that winds will likely decrease to around 115 knots before landfall...still a very significant cyclone.
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Thu Apr 03, 2003 10:41 pm

This could be the biggest tropical weather event this offseason. The Australians are definitely monitoring this one. :o
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Thu Apr 03, 2003 10:43 pm

Image
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Stormless2003

#4 Postby Stormless2003 » Thu Apr 03, 2003 11:18 pm

I've been watching this one develop ever since it was just a tiny little tropical disturbance. It is amazing how fast it became such a classic looking cyclone! :o

Cyclone Inigo Visible Image

Cyclone Inigo Infrared Image
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Thu Apr 03, 2003 11:30 pm

Usually when the SOI is negative, tropical cyclones often develop further east, in the central Pacific, and many of these cyclones recurve southward before reaching Australia's longitude. More cyclones develop near western Australia during La Nina years. Inigo is just another indication that ENSO is slowly going negative.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 04, 2003 6:27 am

Wow jason that is a heck of a system there and as you said this confirms more and more that neutral to weak la nina conditions are present in the east central pacific.
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#7 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Apr 04, 2003 10:51 am

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Rainband

#8 Postby Rainband » Fri Apr 04, 2003 12:10 pm

Wow I am glad my relatives live In Melbourne-Victoria..GOD SPEED to all in the path :wink:

Johnathan
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