WPAC Formation Alert

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

WPAC Formation Alert

#1 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Apr 08, 2003 8:17 pm

A formation alert has been issued for a disturbance located 250 SSE of Pohnpei. The satellite imagery shows some development of banding and circulation features. Because of the low latitude of the disturbance (2.9N), much of the impetus for initial spinup is going to have to be derived from cyclonic horizontal shear since Plantetary Vorticity is close to nil this close to the Equator.

Steve
0 likes   

Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Tue Apr 08, 2003 9:23 pm

Thats almost the same latitude where Vamei formed.
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

Vamei

#3 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Apr 08, 2003 11:02 pm

formed at 1.5N and the post storm studies indicate that indeed horizontal shear-specifically that associated with the NE monsoon north of the system provided the spinup needed to get the storm started.

Steve
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Google Adsense [Bot], Hurricane2022, KirbyDude25, pepecool20, Sciencerocks and 108 guests