Why are high cloud tops over FL being blown off the NNE?

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chris_fit
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Why are high cloud tops over FL being blown off the NNE?

#1 Postby chris_fit » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:33 pm

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TheShrimper
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#2 Postby TheShrimper » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:37 pm

I noticed that too, from as early as mid day.
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gkrangers

#3 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:41 pm

Cuz the upper level winds are blowing NNE, duh.
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#4 Postby chris_fit » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:44 pm

gkrangers wrote:Cuz the upper level winds are blowing NNE, duh.


Shouldnt they be West in one way or another to keep Dennis on a Westerly course?
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gkrangers

#5 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:49 pm

chris_fit wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Cuz the upper level winds are blowing NNE, duh.


Shouldnt they be West in one way or another to keep Dennis on a Westerly course?
To my understanding, the mid level (500mb) winds blow following the periphery of the ridge. So in northern FL, they should be blowing towards the north - northeast.

But it would be good to have clarrification from a pro met or someone more experienced than I.
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:50 pm

chris_fit wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Cuz the upper level winds are blowing NNE, duh.


Shouldnt they be West in one way or another to keep Dennis on a Westerly course?


Well, the steering of a strong system like this is influenced by the entire column. It seems like there's enough ridging left at the low to mid levels to keep steering him more westerly, although I don't really see it (hence my rightward track error).

Anyway, the northward outflow from Dennis is getting sucked into the jet associated with the mid-latitude trough, and that's what's giving us that strong NE flow over norther Florida.

Jan
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#7 Postby EDR1222 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:07 pm

Looks like in the mid levels, the ridge is holding strong, maybe even building some, hopefully pushing Dennis away from Florida. Not that I wish this storm on anyone, the further away from Florida, the better!
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