TD#9

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cycloneye
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TD#9

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:54 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE (AL092005) ON 20050804 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050804 1800 050805 0600 050805 1800 050806 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.6N 34.0W 12.9N 36.1W 13.2N 38.0W 13.4N 39.7W
BAMM 12.6N 34.0W 12.9N 35.6W 13.3N 37.1W 13.8N 38.5W
A98E 12.6N 34.0W 12.8N 36.5W 12.8N 39.2W 12.4N 41.9W
LBAR 12.6N 34.0W 13.0N 36.5W 13.8N 39.0W 14.4N 41.6W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 39KTS 46KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 39KTS 46KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050806 1800 050807 1800 050808 1800 050809 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.5N 41.1W 14.3N 43.8W 16.9N 46.4W 20.5N 49.2W
BAMM 14.4N 39.9W 16.5N 43.3W 19.3N 47.4W 22.1N 51.4W
A98E 11.7N 44.4W 12.0N 48.4W 12.0N 52.2W 12.5N 55.4W
LBAR 14.9N 44.5W 15.9N 50.6W 16.8N 55.8W 19.8N 52.5W
SHIP 53KTS 66KTS 74KTS 76KTS
DSHP 53KTS 66KTS 74KTS 76KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 12.6N LONCUR = 34.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 12.2N LONM12 = 31.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 12.2N LONM24 = 29.2W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Aug 06, 2005 8:12 pm, edited 13 times in total.
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:55 pm

Not a surprise, but FINALLY!!!
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:55 pm

Luis, if my numbers are correct, are the models still showing a turn towards the north?

<RICKY>
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#4 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:55 pm

Hurricane Irene in 72 hours according to ships!!

Yowzaa!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#5 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:55 pm

All models have it at or near 20N well before 60W. I still say fish..

except the stupid NHC one.
Last edited by dwg71 on Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby Rashid » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:56 pm

still a great chance at recurve IMO. Harvey might move slow enough followed by a second trough which would draw a significant cyclone northward.
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#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:56 pm

dwg71 wrote:All models have it at or near 20N well before 60W. I still say fish..


yeah i just noticed that too. They have been showing this consistently now run after run so perhaps that turn to the north could materialize afterall.

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:56 pm

Wahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:56 pm

Luis, will this be considered the first Cape Verde system of the season?
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#10 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:57 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
dwg71 wrote:All models have it at or near 20N well before 60W. I still say fish..


yeah i just noticed that too. They have been showing this consistently now run after run so perhaps that turn to the north could materialize afterall.

<RICKY>
The models can be consistently WRONG as well.
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:57 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Wahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


My sentiments exactly!!! :D
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#12 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:58 pm

It says Noname on the NRL site now.
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#13 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:59 pm

gkrangers wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
dwg71 wrote:All models have it at or near 20N well before 60W. I still say fish..


yeah i just noticed that too. They have been showing this consistently now run after run so perhaps that turn to the north could materialize afterall.

<RICKY>
The models can be consistently WRONG as well.


Very true. But not dealing with the what-if's. Dealing with the reality of things.

<RICKY>
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#14 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:00 pm

Thunder44 wrote:It says Noname on the NRL site now.


Can't wait for that 1st discussion
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:00 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Luis, will this be considered the first Cape Verde system of the season?


YES.
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#16 Postby jax » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:00 pm

God help us all!!
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#17 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:01 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:It says Noname on the NRL site now.


Can't wait for that 1st discussion


I hear ya. Im dyin to read it(not literally).

<RICKY>
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#18 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:01 pm

Looking at sat. and infrared images of the size of this storm, if it becomes a hurricane and intensifies into a cat.3 or higher and made landfall at that strength, it would cause alot of devastation as large as it is right now.
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:01 pm

As all we know, by tonight or tomorrow morning this will become the earliest that the 9th system reaches tropical storm intensity. Will Irene follow Isabel and Ivan's path of intensity? Time will tell, but the answer is around the corner.
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#20 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:02 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:Looking at sat. and infrared images of the size of this storm, if it becomes a hurricane and intensifies into a cat.3 or higher and made landfall at that strength, it would cause alot of devastation as large as it is right now.


Biggest storm Since her Brother IVAN!!!
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