Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145888
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:58 am

A little late as I was at sleep but here is the new thread now for Wilma.Let's see how many pages it gets but when she becomes a hurricane a new thread will be created so post away.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:52 am, edited 8 times in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#2 Postby mike815 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:02 am

LOL it wont take long heres Wilma tied with the 1933 21 named storms its amazing. I cant even amagine it what a season.
0 likes   

User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:

#3 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:05 am

So where is she going? Is it a game of guessing and seeing where she decides to go. Right now the computer models have her going west but the NHC has her going over the Yucatan and then turning more N. I don't like that track because it brings it closer to my woods. Well I am off to teach and pray that the kids are not upset. They seem to get upset when there is a storm threatening the GOM. Many of the students were here during Ivan and a lot of them are from MS and LA and have memories beyound comprehension of Katrina. I guess that is why I wanting to know where she is going because they will be asking.
0 likes   

User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#4 Postby mike815 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:07 am

Its still very hard to say where Wilma will go. This is a very tough forecast. It appers wilma will become a significant storm around a cat 3 at least. Its still very difficult to say.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145888
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:14 am

I would issue Tropical Storm warnings for the NE coast of Nicaragua as it has comed close for comfort to that country but I dont work at NHC.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#6 Postby mike815 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:19 am

yeah. Ive learned just to pay attention to just a few days at a time instead off way into the future. These models i think still dont have a handle on this sytem and everything is up in the air. The adv. this morn. was good there not shifting the track much because of the models jumping around and the extreme uncertinty.
0 likes   

User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#7 Postby mike815 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:26 am

a local MET on wftv is a bit concerend about this one. he is in orlando
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

hmmm

#8 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:30 am

If it gets into the BOC will the boomerang affect still occur?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html
0 likes   

User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#9 Postby cinlfla » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:30 am

a local MET on wftv is a bit concerend about this one. he is in orlando



Which met is this? Is it Tom Terry?
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2041
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#10 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:31 am

Wow! That's all that can be said!
0 likes   

stormcloud
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 130
Joined: Fri May 07, 2004 2:44 pm
Location: Houston

#11 Postby stormcloud » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:32 am

Re: model flip flops. The 06z GFS flip-flopped and again has Wilma heading for Florida by the weekend.
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#12 Postby Normandy » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:32 am

One thing should be noted the center of Wilma is far south of the forecast points.
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#13 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:36 am

STEWART is not buying the Yuca solution either...
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#14 Postby Aquawind » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:41 am

ARRGGGHHHHH!!! Dang Models.. So much uncertainty..Timing, Speed, Direction..LOL.. Hilarious.. They have mentioned Erratic motion and this qualifies alrighty..I officially do hate WEAK Steering patterns..lol Watch the models shift again when Wilma starts moving north of west...


Paul
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#15 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:50 am

i think the models are not picking up on this trough...maybe models will shift right once she finally stars moving!
0 likes   

User avatar
Windtalker1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 523
Age: 37
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 11:00 am
Location: Mesa, Arizona

#16 Postby Windtalker1 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:50 am

100th Post :woo: :jump: The models will shift alot for the next 3 days from Mexico to a Florida hit. Won't really know anything till Wednesday at least.
0 likes   

User avatar
myred
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 89
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 3:32 am
Location: Pocono Mountains in PA

#17 Postby myred » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:51 am

Winlma is a TS.. haha just another post for me.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145888
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#18 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:55 am

Moving now South at 5 mph means more left shift of the models.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

CHRISTY

#19 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:56 am

why?
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7188
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

#20 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:58 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think the models are not picking up on this trough...maybe models will shift right once she finally stars moving!


the 5am disco backs you up as some of the globals lose the trough
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: dl20415, Google Adsense [Bot], grannyboo and 33 guests