TS Alberto Recon Reports

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brunota2003
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#81 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:35 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Still no reports of tropical storm conditions. They are still a little ways from the center though.
I've seen a report of a 38mph wind speed...but yeah, so far no TS conditions.
but if you look at where the plots are...it appears that they came through the dry and less stormy side...so once they get in the heaviest convection the winds "should" be stronger...
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#82 Postby StJoe » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:35 pm

Me thinks Alberto has been born...we should find out in the next few minutes... :eek:
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#83 Postby StJoe » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:38 pm

brunota2003,

Agreed 110%
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#84 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:38 pm

How many more minutes til we find out?
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#85 Postby StJoe » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:39 pm

Probably 20 mins, maybe less
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#86 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:40 pm

287
SXXX50 KNHC 101733
AF301 01AAA INVEST HDOB 12 KNHC
1726 2335N 08649W 02836 0120 058 020 100 066 021 03000 0000000000
1726. 2333N 08648W 02744 0113 054 020 098 092 020 02902 0000000000
1727 2332N 08647W 02650 0107 061 019 098 098 020 02801 0000000100
1727. 2330N 08646W 02555 0101 067 022 100 100 024 02700 0000000100
1728 2329N 08645W 02450 0095 068 024 106 106 025 02589 0000000100
1728. 2327N 08644W 02240 0085 071 023 120 120 025 02366 0000000100
1729 2326N 08643W 01905 0071 067 022 138 126 024 02012 0000000000
1729. 2324N 08642W 01468 0050 069 024 156 154 025 01553 0000000000
1730 2322N 08642W 01113 0040 081 027 178 166 028 01179 0000000000
1730. 2321N 08640W 00930 0024 085 026 188 180 027 00974 0000000000
1731 2320N 08638W 00744 0007 089 028 200 198 028 00771 0000000000
1731. 2321N 08638W 00607 5005 092 030 208 208 032 00622 0000000000
1732 2321N 08639W 00409 5017 083 028 226 216 031 00403 0000000000
1732. 2320N 08638W 00342 5022 082 026 232 220 026 00329 0000000000
1733 2318N 08638W 00312 5024 078 026 234 222 027 00297 0000000000
1733. 2317N 08638W 00305 5025 083 026 234 222 027 00289 0000000000
1734 2315N 08637W 00311 5026 091 026 232 220 028 00294 0000000000
1734. 2315N 08636W 00304 5026 090 025 236 218 026 00287 0000000000
1735 2314N 08635W 00307 5027 088 026 234 220 026 00290 0000000000
1735. 2313N 08634W 00310 5027 092 025 230 220 026 00293 0000000000

So I'm reading this right... does the bolded "032" mean 32 knots?
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#87 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:40 pm

32 kts yes
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#88 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:41 pm

yes 32 means 32kts at flight level
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#89 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:41 pm

I think so, and that is at 23.21°N so it is a good 150-200 miles from the center. 32 knots = 38 mph
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#90 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:32 kts yes


Well that's not too shabby.

They're at 300m (lol), so I guess that's 80% of flight level = 25 knots.
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#91 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:43 pm

I believe the flight level winds are adjusted to show the true surface winds. For example, the 32kt at flight level would be 29kt at the surface (90% of flight-level).

To safely say Alberto has been born, I'd say we need a 40kt figure at flight level.
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#92 Postby Scorpion » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:45 pm

Even if they find a few TS winds, I don't know if they'll upgrade it with the kind of organization its showing today.
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#93 Postby StJoe » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:45 pm

Still have 100+ miles to go
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#94 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:46 pm

StJoe wrote:Still have 100+ miles to go
IF the center is where they think it is.
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#95 Postby StormsAhead » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:46 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (AAL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF301
Observation Number: 05
Time: 1735Z
Latitude: 23.2°N
Longitude: 86.6°W

Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: E (90°) @ 29 mph
Temperature: 73°F
Dewpoint: 72°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1009 mb
Surface Wind: E (80°) @ 35 mph
Remarks: None
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#96 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:46 pm

StormsAhead wrote:RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (AAL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF301
Observation Number: 05
Time: 1735Z
Latitude: 23.2°N
Longitude: 86.6°W

Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: E (90°) @ 29 mph
Temperature: 73°F
Dewpoint: 72°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1009 mb
Surface Wind: E (80°) @ 35 mph
Remarks: None


hmm..the surface wind is stronger than the FL wind.
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#97 Postby StJoe » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:47 pm

Extremeweatherguy,

ah ha!
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#98 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:48 pm

Image
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#99 Postby StormsAhead » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:49 pm

USAF High Density Observations
Storm Name: INVEST (AAL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF301
Flt Data Number: 13

01: 17:36:00; 23.2°N 86.6°W; PA: 994ft; D-Val: -89 ft; Wnd: E (93°) @ 32mph (Max: 33mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 935ft
02: 17:36:30; 23.2°N 86.5°W; PA: 1004ft; D-Val: -92 ft; Wnd: E (89°) @ 31mph (Max: 32mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 942ft
03: 17:37:00; 23.2°N 86.5°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -92 ft; Wnd: E (88°) @ 30mph (Max: 32mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 938ft
04: 17:37:30; 23.1°N 86.5°W; PA: 1033ft; D-Val: -92 ft; Wnd: E (88°) @ 28mph (Max: 29mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 974ft
05: 17:38:00; 23.1°N 86.5°W; PA: 1063ft; D-Val: -89 ft; Wnd: E (87°) @ 29mph (Max: 29mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 1004ft
06: 17:38:30; 23.1°N 86.5°W; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: -92 ft; Wnd: E (83°) @ 29mph (Max: 29mph); T: 73F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 994ft
07: 17:39:00; 23.1°N 86.5°W; PA: 1050ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: E (81°) @ 29mph (Max: 30mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 988ft
08: 17:39:30; 23.1°N 86.5°W; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: E (80°) @ 29mph (Max: 31mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 994ft
09: 17:40:00; 23°N 86.4°W; PA: 1050ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: E (81°) @ 30mph (Max: 30mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 984ft
10: 17:40:30; 23°N 86.4°W; PA: 1060ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: ENE (76°) @ 30mph (Max: 31mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 994ft
11: 17:41:00; 23°N 86.4°W; PA: 1050ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: ENE (76°) @ 31mph (Max: 32mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 984ft
12: 17:41:30; 23°N 86.4°W; PA: 1053ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: ENE (74°) @ 33mph (Max: 35mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 991ft
13: 17:42:00; 23°N 86.4°W; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: -95 ft; Wnd: ENE (76°) @ 30mph (Max: 30mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 994ft
14: 17:42:30; **** ****; PA: 1053ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (74°) @ 32mph (Max: 33mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 984ft
15: 17:43:00; **** ****; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (72°) @ 30mph (Max: 30mph); T: 72F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 991ft
16: 17:43:30; **** ****; PA: 1050ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (75°) @ 31mph (Max: 31mph); T: 73F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 984ft
17: 17:44:00; **** ****; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (74°) @ 31mph (Max: 32mph); T: 73F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 991ft
18: 17:44:30; 22.9°N 86.3°W; PA: 1050ft; D-Val: -102 ft; Wnd: ENE (74°) @ 32mph (Max: 32mph); T: 73F; D: 71F; Radar Alt: 981ft
19: 17:45:00; **** ****; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (72°) @ 31mph (Max: 33mph); T: 73F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 984ft
20: 17:45:30; **** ****; PA: 1056ft; D-Val: ****; Wnd: ENE (71°) @ 30mph (Max: 31mph); T: 73F; D: 72F; Radar Alt: 984ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect
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#100 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:49 pm

Where do you get those photos on Google Earth?
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