This appears to be what the NRL have unofficially as Invest 94W. This isn't actually mentioned on the JMA's page but is in the Met Area bulletin (Within China's area), so it may not officially be a TD yet.
WWJP25 RJTD 291200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200.
WARNING VALID 301200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 142E
44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 170E 33N 155E 34N
145E 39N 142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 120E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 145E ENE 15 KT.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 180E ESE 10 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 06N 140E WNW SLOWLY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 141E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 165E ENE 10 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 113E TO 36N 125E 32N 134E 34N 140E 35N 146E
38N 154E 37N 158E.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
NW Pacific: Tropical Storm Ewiniar (0603)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
NW Pacific: Tropical Storm Ewiniar (0603)
Last edited by P.K. on Mon Jul 10, 2006 4:23 am, edited 4 times in total.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145888
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290551Z JUN 06//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTPN31 PGTW 292100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.1N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.1N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 6.4N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 6.9N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 7.6N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 8.6N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.1N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 6.2N 138.3E.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 290551Z
JUN 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 290600 )
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 10 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
P.K,what would be the name if this forms into a Tropical Storm?
Graphic
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290551Z JUN 06//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTPN31 PGTW 292100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 6.1N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.1N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 6.4N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 6.9N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 7.6N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 8.6N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 11.1N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 6.2N 138.3E.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 290551Z
JUN 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 290600 )
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 10 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
P.K,what would be the name if this forms into a Tropical Storm?
Graphic
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
WTPQ31 PGUM 292156
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
800 AM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006
..NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SOUTH OF YAP...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED THIS
AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.
AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD)
04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.3
DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
230 MILES SOUTH OF YAP
270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI
280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL
425 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL.
TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...6.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.3 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 30 MPH.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1 PM GUAM LST.
$$
PRIOR
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
800 AM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006
..NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SOUTH OF YAP...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED THIS
AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.
AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD)
04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.3
DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
230 MILES SOUTH OF YAP
270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI
280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL
425 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL.
TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...6.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.3 DEGREES
EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 30 MPH.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1 PM GUAM LST.
$$
PRIOR
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wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
- Location: Southern California
- Contact:
Not to hijack the thread, but when you go to the WPAC loops it says "TC points not available", anyone else has this problem?
EDIT: BTW, my thoughts: TUTT is moving away in tandem to the northwest, ventilating the system, and shear is light. I don't want to be trigger happy like I was with Chanchu, but this looks very organized. One caveat is the dry air to the north, and the other is the Invest over the SCS and possible interaction. Overall, though, this has sparked my interest a lot more than the anemic invests in the Atlantic, and this has a pretty good chance, IMHO, of rapid intensification once the CDO gets organized. Hope I'm not jinxing anything like I did last time.
BTW, I think JTWC's analysis may be too far to the east, the steering currents look more westerly. The Phillippines will have to watch this one extremely closely. Nevertheless, I still do not believe this will make landfall, as a trough is approaching from China, and as I said, there might be some interaction with the other Invest. I do not have any models for this system, though.
EDIT: BTW, my thoughts: TUTT is moving away in tandem to the northwest, ventilating the system, and shear is light. I don't want to be trigger happy like I was with Chanchu, but this looks very organized. One caveat is the dry air to the north, and the other is the Invest over the SCS and possible interaction. Overall, though, this has sparked my interest a lot more than the anemic invests in the Atlantic, and this has a pretty good chance, IMHO, of rapid intensification once the CDO gets organized. Hope I'm not jinxing anything like I did last time.
BTW, I think JTWC's analysis may be too far to the east, the steering currents look more westerly. The Phillippines will have to watch this one extremely closely. Nevertheless, I still do not believe this will make landfall, as a trough is approaching from China, and as I said, there might be some interaction with the other Invest. I do not have any models for this system, though.
Last edited by wxmann_91 on Thu Jun 29, 2006 7:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Aquawind
- Category 5
- Posts: 6714
- Age: 62
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
- Location: Salisbury, NC
- Contact:
wxmann_91 wrote:Not to hijack the thread, but when you go to the WPAC loops it says "TC points not available", anyone else has this problem?
Works for me..
http://tinyurl.com/pqojb
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wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
- Location: Southern California
- Contact:
Aquawind wrote:wxmann_91 wrote:Not to hijack the thread, but when you go to the WPAC loops it says "TC points not available", anyone else has this problem?
Works for me..
http://tinyurl.com/pqojb
I meant from this site, but thanks anyway.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/260752JUN2004//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 6.5N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 7.0N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 7.8N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 8.8N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.6N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 137.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
180 NM SOUTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE HAS IMPROVED
OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE CONSOLIDATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 25 KNOTS AND
35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/260752JUN2004//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 6.5N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 7.0N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 7.8N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 8.8N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 10.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.6N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 137.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
180 NM SOUTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE HAS IMPROVED
OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE CONSOLIDATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 25 KNOTS AND
35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.//
NNNN
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-
Matt-hurricanewatcher
WTPN31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 6.7N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 7.1N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 7.7N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 8.8N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.0N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.6N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 6.8N 138.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH OF
YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CIRCULATION HAS
CONSOLIDATED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. A 292301Z
SSM/I PASS CORROBORATES THIS RELOCATION 50 NM (APPROX) TO THE EAST OF
THE PREVIOUS POSITION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 30 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
NNNN
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 6.7N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 7.1N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 7.7N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 8.8N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 10.0N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 12.6N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 6.8N 138.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH OF
YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CIRCULATION HAS
CONSOLIDATED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. A 292301Z
SSM/I PASS CORROBORATES THIS RELOCATION 50 NM (APPROX) TO THE EAST OF
THE PREVIOUS POSITION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 30 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
NNNN
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Upgraded to TS Ewiniar (0603) making it the third TS of the year. The track forecast is here.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 07.5N 137.8E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 011800UTC 09.9N 137.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
48HF 021800UTC 12.3N 137.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 031800UTC 15.6N 136.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 07.5N 137.8E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 011800UTC 09.9N 137.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
48HF 021800UTC 12.3N 137.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
72HF 031800UTC 15.6N 136.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 302100UTC 07.8N 137.5E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 012100UTC 10.6N 137.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 021800UTC 12.3N 137.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 031800UTC 15.6N 136.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 302100UTC 07.8N 137.5E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 012100UTC 10.6N 137.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 021800UTC 12.3N 137.2E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 031800UTC 15.6N 136.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
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WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
).
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact: