New Vortex

[southerngale]

623
URNT12 KNHC 132224
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 13/2224Z
B. 25 DEG 33 MIN N
92 DEG 05 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1382 M
D. 40 KT
E. 148 DEG 046 NM
F. 196 DEG 52 KT
G. 147 DEG 047 NM
H. EXTRAP 994 MB
I. 19 C/ 1526 M
J. 23 C/ 1511 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 1 /1 NM
P. AF963 1704A CLAUDETTE OB 10
MAX FL WIND 69 KT N QUAD 2017Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 850MB.
MAX FL TEMP 24C 174/006NM FL CNTR

[Stormsfury]

Whoa!...new convection is initiating much closer to the center as well on last light visible imagery ...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[PTrackerLA]

Wow, new convection right over the center! This isn't good news for those in her path. Hurricane status not too far off???

[southerngale]

Yeah SF...it looks like it's completely over the center now. You can still see visible right now.

SF has the link above.

[Stormsfury]

Pressure down to 991 mb now

000
URNT12 KNHC 140007
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 14/0007Z
B. 25 DEG 46 MIN N
92 DEG 05 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1360 M
D. 40 KT
E. 234 DEG 015 NM
F. 336 DEG 38 KT
G. 228 DEG 047 NM
H. 991 MB
I. 20 C/ 1524 M
J. 24 C/ 1526 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 1/1 NM
P. AF963 1704A CLAUDETTE OB 14
MAX FL WIND 69 KT N QUAD 2017Z. MAX FL TEMP 25C 237/007NM FROM
FL CNTR

[Guest]

Keeps dropping. But can she maintain herself. This system is not know for its stability. I give it a 1 in 5 chance of remain or being better organized in the morning.

Also - with her being supposely stationary - perhaps upwelling might occur?

[Tip]

She's actually wobbling almost due north and a tad east from the last three fixes.

[teal61]

the average movement has been north at about 6mph

[teal61]

Opps, Since the 1704z fix the average movement has been north at 6 mph.

[Guest]

LOL - we are gonna be told we were seeing things and it wasn't a true movement to the north.

[JetMaxx]

Ticka....that water in the Western GOM is so shallow and so warm, I'm not sure much upwelling will occur...and once Claudette begins moving W to WNW toward South Texas, the water near the coast is even warmer. That concerns me greatly if the shear relaxes.

On August 2-3, 1970 hurricane Celia's pressure fell from 988 to 945 mb in the final 16 hours before landfall near Corpus Christi -- sustained winds increased from 75-80 mph to 130 mph (gusts reached 161 mph at CRP, and may have been even stronger from the damage analysis).

Perry