Ernesto Remnants

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Ernesto Remnants

#1 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:54 pm

Thread 10, containing the links to the others.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 08&start=0
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:55 pm

An eye is clearing out on radar, though it appears to be ready to make landfall just south of Wilmington, around Oak Island.

Image
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:05 pm

Yep. I think it will go down as 75mph at landfall, perhaps 80mph.
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#4 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:10 pm

unreal, i thought this thing would never even sniff moderate TS status after doing nothing before the florida landfall
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#5 Postby conestogo_flood » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:17 pm

When is it landfalling?
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#6 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:18 pm

conestogo_flood wrote:When is it landfalling?


the now eyewall will be within the next half hour, the center within the hour.
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#7 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:20 pm

Is it possible it'll be 75 mph at the 11pm advisory? or will it already be too far on land..
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#8 Postby marcane_1973 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:22 pm

Mark Sudduth just recorded a 64 mph wind gust at Kure Beach and a 994 pressure reading. They are about 70 ft from the ocean.
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#9 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:23 pm

The 11pm intensity will be the de facto landfall intensity. So far, recon hasn't found anything to justify an upgrade... I doubt it'll make it.

If it stays to the east of Cape Fear (which has a slight chance of happening judging from this picture), then it would have another hour or two to strengthen.
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#10 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:24 pm

I'd say we are getting 60-70 winds now.
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#11 Postby artist » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:24 pm

where is Kure Beach?
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#12 Postby bjackrian » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:24 pm

Southport (KSUT) reporting 992.6 mb at 0200 UTC. Winds E at 21 kt, gusts to 43 kt.
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#13 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:25 pm

artist wrote:where is Kure Beach?


Between Wilmington and Cape Fear.

http://www.mapquest.com/maps/map.adp?se ... C&zipcode=
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#14 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:26 pm

artist wrote:where is Kure Beach?


S New Hanover County. Ft. Fisher, Kure Beach and Carolina Beach make up pleasure island. 34N 77W
Last edited by Thatsmrhurricane on Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:26 pm

Gonna be close.. but probably won't make Cat 1 huh.. Ok.. :wink:
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#16 Postby Regit » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:26 pm

Thatsmrhurricane wrote:I'd say we are getting 60-70 winds now.


If so, you should have no power and see plenty of damage in the morning. Getting around will be nearly impossible come daylight.
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#17 Postby THead » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:27 pm

The JMPN7 buoy just offshore recorded a 67 mph gust, 55mph sustained. This is a really neat site, whoever originally shared it with us.

http://www.pdfamily.com/weather/buoy/SEbuoy.php
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#18 Postby Rainband » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:27 pm

Rain is going to be a big problem in the NE this weekend.
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#19 Postby artist » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:27 pm

thanks Brent and Thatsmrhurricane! :D
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#20 Postby marcane_1973 » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:28 pm

artist wrote:where is Kure Beach?
NNE of Bald Head Island
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