This from TD #6 Adv 1:
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5
...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
Kinda makes one wonder about the 5 day hoopla...scantly any better than the mean of all models at 96 hrs.
Scott
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Scott_inVA
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Steve Cosby
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That's because...
If the 5-day forecast error is nearly equivalent to the models, that would make sense because so many of the NHC forecasts seem to be "we'll go with what the model says".
Not that there is anything wrong with that...
Not that there is anything wrong with that...
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