ENSO Updates

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Kingarabian
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11081 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 17, 2019 4:13 pm

Still looks pretty Modoki-ish over the Nino regions. Also I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11082 Postby NotSparta » Sat Aug 17, 2019 4:36 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Still looks pretty Modoki-ish over the Nino regions. Also I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.


Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11083 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 17, 2019 6:21 pm

From Aug18-Aug25, 12z Euro has Tahiti MSLP average near 1015.75 and Darwin MSLP near 1014.75. If this verifies, the SOI will be tilted weakly negative.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11084 Postby AJC3 » Sat Aug 17, 2019 8:05 pm

NotSparta wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.


Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics


I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.

:-) https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11085 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Aug 17, 2019 8:13 pm

AJC3 wrote:
NotSparta wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.


Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics


I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.

:-)

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php


I agree as well and just submitted my comment too. Thanks for sharing that link!
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11086 Postby AJC3 » Sat Aug 17, 2019 8:28 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
AJC3 wrote:
NotSparta wrote:
Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics


I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.

:-)

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php


I agree as well and just submitted my comment too. Thanks for sharing that link!


If they don't change the low end of the scale back to white, and they REALLY want to make some sort of differentiation between +0.5C and -0.5C, then they need to make it subtle and not distracting - something like this. The scale on the right distiguishes the weak pos/neg anomalies, but is a LOT better than what they switched to on the left.

Image


Otherwise, no need to fix what ain't broke...
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11087 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 17, 2019 9:21 pm

AJC3 wrote:
NotSparta wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:I'm not a fan of the new CPC subsurface maps.


Yeah, they look terrible. Hope that doesn't spread to the other graphics


I agree 100 percent. I went here and strongly suggested that they to change it back to the scale they previously used. I would suggest you both (and anyone else, for that matter) do the same.

:-) https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/comment-form.php

https://i.imgur.com/DODTbXr.png


Thanks just submitted my suggestions.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11088 Postby Chris90 » Sun Aug 18, 2019 5:12 am

Daily SOI for August 18th is 7.46, and with that contribution the 30 day average SOI has finally, but just barely, cracked into the positive for the first time in a while, coming in at 0.07. Let's see how long that manages to hold up. 90 day average is still down there at -7.28.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11089 Postby StruThiO » Sun Aug 18, 2019 10:34 am

Looks like this product changed too.

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11090 Postby NotSparta » Sun Aug 18, 2019 11:40 am

StruThiO wrote:Looks like this product changed too.

https://i.imgur.com/slQYdvR.jpg


yeah, it gives way too much color for weak anomalies, making them look like they're stronger than they are
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C

#11091 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 19, 2019 8:35 am

Text of the CPC weekly update of 8/19/19 that has Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C

#11092 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 19, 2019 10:09 am

Now is not even a Modoki El Nino present.
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Re: ENSO: CPC Weekly update of 8/19/19: Niño 3.4 down to +0.1C

#11093 Postby NDG » Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:05 pm

Yet another bad year for the Euro.

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11094 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 23, 2019 2:31 am

Another round of MC MJO progression is in the models forecasts and it may end the atmosphere's El Nino grip.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11095 Postby CyclonicFury » Mon Aug 26, 2019 11:41 am

Niño 1+2: -0.3°C
Niño 3: -0.3°C
Niño 3.4: 0.0°C
Niño 4: +0.8°C

Coolest weekly Niño 3.4 value since May 30, 2018.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11096 Postby NotSparta » Wed Aug 28, 2019 7:20 am

Looks like a La Niña now. Region 4 remains warm

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11097 Postby CyclonicFury » Tue Sep 03, 2019 5:55 pm

Niño 4 +0.6°C
Niño 3.4 -0.2°C
Niño 3 -0.3°C
Niño 1.2 -0.4°C
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11098 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:18 pm

SOI for August surprisingly came in @ -3.14.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11099 Postby CyclonicFury » Mon Sep 09, 2019 11:13 am

Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.0ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.6ºC

ENSO-neutral continues for the time being. ONI for JJA came in at +0.3C, meaning that the 2018-19 El Nino event officially ends as a weak event that formed in SON 2018, with a peak ONI of +0.8C.
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Re: ENSO Updates

#11100 Postby StruThiO » Tue Sep 10, 2019 11:12 am

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