BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
230 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
FAJARDO
RIO GRANDE
* UNTIL 630 PM AST
AT 230 AM AST RIVER GAGES AND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THE THREAT OF
FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOILS IN THIS AREA ARE
SATURATED...AND THE ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL LEAD TO RAPID FLASH
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE
WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.
LAT...LON 1832 6562 1822 6559 1818 6571 1822 6579
1843 6583 1837 6564
$$
RA
OMAR: Aftermath=PR / VI / N.Leewards
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
BatzVI
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 199
- Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:27 am
- Location: St. Thomas, Virgin Islands
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
We just had about an hour of straight, hard rain......here's the webcam, if you look at the water's edge you can see the brown from the runoff....
http://reservationsbvi.com/web%20cams/s ... 20cam.html
http://reservationsbvi.com/web%20cams/s ... 20cam.html
0 likes
-
HurricaneMaster_PR
- Category 2
- Posts: 795
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Waouw what a scenario tonight... Hope the very best for you my carib friends from the north, PR, BVI and the Northeern Leewards islands. Hey Msbee right now you're under an yellow alert for a possible tropical cyclone near your island Wednesday and us in Guadeloupe are in yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms!
What a day in Guadeloupe awfully rainy rainy,numerous localized floodings, isolated tstorms too have been observed from my eyes, looks like a cyclonic day very grey and dark with continious rain...
The next days does not seems very pleasant for all the Leewards, something to monitor as TD/or Omar could pose a serious direct threat for BVI PR and St Marteen and St Barth too, hope Guadeloupe not, the track is pretty uncertain too.... damn remembered Lenny in 1999
, troubles ahead if this trend continues, we should stay on our GUARD at anytime with this suspicious system!!
What a day in Guadeloupe awfully rainy rainy,numerous localized floodings, isolated tstorms too have been observed from my eyes, looks like a cyclonic day very grey and dark with continious rain...
The next days does not seems very pleasant for all the Leewards, something to monitor as TD/or Omar could pose a serious direct threat for BVI PR and St Marteen and St Barth too, hope Guadeloupe not, the track is pretty uncertain too.... damn remembered Lenny in 1999
, troubles ahead if this trend continues, we should stay on our GUARD at anytime with this suspicious system!!
0 likes
-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
From a correspondant of St.Croix
http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/stcroix.shtml
- - St.Croix (USVI) - -
- Are We Ready.?!
From: "Isabel Cerni" <hicerni at viaccess.net>
Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 18:00:44 -0400
Good evening stormcarib friends and beyond!
They were right! The forecasters predicted a very active October. I like to call it RED OCTOBER because we are often embedded in RED during an active system. We are now experiencing the effects of Depression # 15 with very heavy downpours every now and then with the sky remaining gray throughout the day. It is expected to become a Cat 1 hurricane by Wednesday noon when it arrives in our area. Puerto Rico has issued a tropical storm watch and are preparing for the possibility of dealing with a slow-moving storm.
We expect lots more of this during the next days.
I have not heard it as yet, but VITEMA was to issue a statement regarding this storm which is headed in our direction, as opposed to the more westerly direction. We have been prepared all during the Hurricane Season, right? So, all we need do now, is pick up all loose objects from around the house (remove hanging objects like the one in the above photo) and protect all windows with shutters or panels. We have a good 36 hours, however, the bad thing with this storm is that it is moving very slowly. At the moment it is stationary! Heaven help us! That is the worse kind, those slow movers! Let's stop being complacent and pay attention! Watch and pray! God bless us all!
Isabel
http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/stcroix.shtml
- - St.Croix (USVI) - -
- Are We Ready.?!
From: "Isabel Cerni" <hicerni at viaccess.net>
Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 18:00:44 -0400
Good evening stormcarib friends and beyond!
They were right! The forecasters predicted a very active October. I like to call it RED OCTOBER because we are often embedded in RED during an active system. We are now experiencing the effects of Depression # 15 with very heavy downpours every now and then with the sky remaining gray throughout the day. It is expected to become a Cat 1 hurricane by Wednesday noon when it arrives in our area. Puerto Rico has issued a tropical storm watch and are preparing for the possibility of dealing with a slow-moving storm.
We expect lots more of this during the next days.
I have not heard it as yet, but VITEMA was to issue a statement regarding this storm which is headed in our direction, as opposed to the more westerly direction. We have been prepared all during the Hurricane Season, right? So, all we need do now, is pick up all loose objects from around the house (remove hanging objects like the one in the above photo) and protect all windows with shutters or panels. We have a good 36 hours, however, the bad thing with this storm is that it is moving very slowly. At the moment it is stationary! Heaven help us! That is the worse kind, those slow movers! Let's stop being complacent and pay attention! Watch and pray! God bless us all!
Isabel
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-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
And another from St Marteen...
SxmGIS - Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness cautions about Tropical Depression #15
From: "Roddy Heyliger" <roddyheyliger at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 18:30:29 -0400
News Release
Written by Roddy Heyliger, Government Information Service (GIS), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, St. Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-599-543-1162, 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net;
For Immediate Release: Monday, October 13, 2008/N166
Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness says to exercise caution during possible localized flooding conditions
GREAT BAY, St. Maarten (GIS) – Tropical Depression #15 formed on Monday morning 500 miles Southwest of St. Maarten at 11.00am.
Wind speeds are 35 miles per hour gusting to 45 miles per hour. The system is expected to become a Tropical Storm within the next 24 hours and will be named Omar.
Based on the forecast track and intensity at 11.00am on Monday, the system will pass to the West of the island. Weather conditions are expected to deteriorate as the system gets closer to the island.
Tropical storm force winds are expected to blow temporarily over the island, but the main threat is expected to be heavy rainfall starting as early as Tuesday.
Periods of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist through at least Wednesday.
The Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness (ODMP) is advising the public to monitor the system very closely during the next 24-36 hours and be prepared to exercise a level of caution due to the possibility of localized flooding in low lying areas (for example, Zagersgut, Cul de Sac Basin and Dutch Quarter), known to be prone to flooding, from heavy rains.
Motorists while driving should exercise caution during heavy rainfall.
Residents living in hill side areas should be vigilant for rock falls due to heavy rains.
# # #
Roddy Heyliger
St. Maarten Government Information Service (GIS)
--
Best regards,
Roddy Heyliger
P.O.Box 945, Philipsburg, St. Maarten
Cell: 5204217-primary, 5816323-secondary
Public Relations & Communications
Secondary Email: roddyheyliger at yahoo.com
CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE
This e-mail message is intended only for the individual(s) to whom it is
addressed. This e-mail may contain information that is privileged,
confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. If you are not
the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any dissemination,
distribution or copying of this communication is strictly prohibited. If you received this e-mail by accident, please notify the sender immediately and destroy this e-mail and all copies of it.
SxmGIS - Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness cautions about Tropical Depression #15
From: "Roddy Heyliger" <roddyheyliger at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 18:30:29 -0400
News Release
Written by Roddy Heyliger, Government Information Service (GIS), Ennia Bldg., Longwall Rd., Philipsburg, St. Maarten D.W.I. Tel. 00-599-543-1162, 542-4119, Fax: 543-1169; Email: gis at sintmaarten.net;
For Immediate Release: Monday, October 13, 2008/N166
Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness says to exercise caution during possible localized flooding conditions
GREAT BAY, St. Maarten (GIS) – Tropical Depression #15 formed on Monday morning 500 miles Southwest of St. Maarten at 11.00am.
Wind speeds are 35 miles per hour gusting to 45 miles per hour. The system is expected to become a Tropical Storm within the next 24 hours and will be named Omar.
Based on the forecast track and intensity at 11.00am on Monday, the system will pass to the West of the island. Weather conditions are expected to deteriorate as the system gets closer to the island.
Tropical storm force winds are expected to blow temporarily over the island, but the main threat is expected to be heavy rainfall starting as early as Tuesday.
Periods of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist through at least Wednesday.
The Office of Disaster Management & Preparedness (ODMP) is advising the public to monitor the system very closely during the next 24-36 hours and be prepared to exercise a level of caution due to the possibility of localized flooding in low lying areas (for example, Zagersgut, Cul de Sac Basin and Dutch Quarter), known to be prone to flooding, from heavy rains.
Motorists while driving should exercise caution during heavy rainfall.
Residents living in hill side areas should be vigilant for rock falls due to heavy rains.
# # #
Roddy Heyliger
St. Maarten Government Information Service (GIS)
--
Best regards,
Roddy Heyliger
P.O.Box 945, Philipsburg, St. Maarten
Cell: 5204217-primary, 5816323-secondary
Public Relations & Communications
Secondary Email: roddyheyliger at yahoo.com
CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE
This e-mail message is intended only for the individual(s) to whom it is
addressed. This e-mail may contain information that is privileged,
confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. If you are not
the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any dissemination,
distribution or copying of this communication is strictly prohibited. If you received this e-mail by accident, please notify the sender immediately and destroy this e-mail and all copies of it.
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Re:
Gustywind wrote:Waouw what a scenario tonight... Hope the very best for you my carib friends from the north, PR, BVI and the Northeern Leewards islands. Hey Msbee right now you're under an yellow alert for a possible tropical cyclone near your island Wednesday and us in Guadeloupe are in yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms!
What a day in Guadeloupe awfully rainy rainy,numerous localized floodings, isolated tstorms too have been observed from my eyes, looks like a cyclonic day very grey and dark with continious rain...
The next days does not seems very pleasant for all the Leewards, something to monitor as TD/or Omar could pose a serious direct threat for BVI PR and St Marteen and St Barth too, hope Guadeloupe not, the track is pretty uncertain too.... damn remembered Lenny in 1999
gusty
link please for our yellow alert?
thanks
Barbara
0 likes
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
Our neighboring island of Anguilla, only 8 miles away, is under a tropical storm watch:
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
A Severe Weather Bulletin is issued when Anguilla could experience Tropical Storm Force conditions within the next 3 days.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15
Public Advisory No. 1
5:00pm Monday 13 October 2008
Department of Disaster Management
Anguilla
A tropical storm watch is being issued by the Department of Disaster Management as a precaution.
The fifteenth depression of the season has formed over the eastern Caribbean Sea. According to the national hurricane centre (NHC) Tropical Depression Fifteen could become a Tropical Storm within the next 24 hours and reach hurricane force later in the week.
Anguilla is now in the three-day forecast envelope for Tropical Depression Fifteen.
This means Anguilla could experience Tropical Storm or Hurricane force conditions within the next 3 days.
This track has similarities to the track taken by Hurricane Lenny in 1999.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
A Severe Weather Bulletin is issued when Anguilla could experience Tropical Storm Force conditions within the next 3 days.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15
Public Advisory No. 1
5:00pm Monday 13 October 2008
Department of Disaster Management
Anguilla
A tropical storm watch is being issued by the Department of Disaster Management as a precaution.
The fifteenth depression of the season has formed over the eastern Caribbean Sea. According to the national hurricane centre (NHC) Tropical Depression Fifteen could become a Tropical Storm within the next 24 hours and reach hurricane force later in the week.
Anguilla is now in the three-day forecast envelope for Tropical Depression Fifteen.
This means Anguilla could experience Tropical Storm or Hurricane force conditions within the next 3 days.
This track has similarities to the track taken by Hurricane Lenny in 1999.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
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-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Re:
msbee wrote:Gustywind wrote:Waouw what a scenario tonight... Hope the very best for you my carib friends from the north, PR, BVI and the Northeern Leewards islands. Hey Msbee right now you're under an yellow alert for a possible tropical cyclone near your island Wednesday and us in Guadeloupe are in yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms!
What a day in Guadeloupe awfully rainy rainy,numerous localized floodings, isolated tstorms too have been observed from my eyes, looks like a cyclonic day very grey and dark with continious rain...
The next days does not seems very pleasant for all the Leewards, something to monitor as TD/or Omar could pose a serious direct threat for BVI PR and St Marteen and St Barth too, hope Guadeloupe not, the track is pretty uncertain too.... damn remembered Lenny in 1999
gusty
link please for our yellow alert?
thanks
Barbara
No problem
Barbara it's simple it's on meteo-france weather site . But do you read french and understand it?
Here's the weather forecast (yellow alert) from the Northeern Leewards Islands... but it's in FRENCH; i don't know if you will understand it?
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_in.pdf ( yellow alert= in french Vigilance Cyclone alerte jaune)
0 likes
-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
If it's not ok go to
http://www.meteo.gp/index.php?page=Incl ... e=spe_gene
and then clik on Bulletin de vigilance sur les iles du nord (format pdf) (13/10/2008)
http://www.meteo.gp/index.php?page=Incl ... e=spe_gene
and then clik on Bulletin de vigilance sur les iles du nord (format pdf) (13/10/2008)
0 likes
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
of course I don't understand or read french..LOL..... un petit peu
but I know people who do, so I'll send it on
thanks
Barbara
but I know people who do, so I'll send it on
thanks
Barbara
Last edited by msbee on Mon Oct 13, 2008 7:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
msbee wrote:of course I don't understand or read french..LOL..... un petit peu
but I have people who do, so I'll send it on
thanks
Barbara
No problem Barbara i can translate it for you but i'm a bit tired lol
0 likes
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
I got it already LOL
thanks anyway
starting to rain hard here.
thanks anyway
starting to rain hard here.
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-
Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
msbee wrote:I got it already LOL
thanks anyway
starting to rain hard here.
No problem Barbara, it's Gusty
ok for the info rain hard, rain has stopped a bit but seems back again, curiously all the convection is developping on the Leewards and at this rate we could have unplesants surprises during the next couple of days already tommorow this thing is incredible ...look at that 
http://www.weathercarib.com/storm15.jpg
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I've spent the afternoon and evening sending to as many as I can - on land and on boats - all info (including Jeff Masters wonderfully consise report) concerning 15. Hopefully, it will be overdone, but I'd rather be lambasted for being Chicken Little than asked why the hell I didn't give a heads' up!
Just an edit to say, thanks again to s2k, where Luis had this nailed days ago, and where there is our little community of island dwellers, hanging in there with each other. We may never meet, but you are in my heart as friends.
Just an edit to say, thanks again to s2k, where Luis had this nailed days ago, and where there is our little community of island dwellers, hanging in there with each other. We may never meet, but you are in my heart as friends.
0 likes
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
good girl MJ
and you are right. Luis nailed it!
and you are right. Luis nailed it!
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139077
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
Just an edit to say, thanks again to s2k, where Luis had this nailed days ago, and where there is our little community of island dwellers, hanging in there with each other. We may never meet, but you are in my heart as friends.
Mj,thanks for those words.
0 likes
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139077
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
919 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
VIC020-030-140415-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0211.081014T0119Z-081014T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
919 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN AND SAINT THOMAS
* UNTIL 1215 AM AST
* AT 915 THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVING
QUICKLY TOWARDS THESE ISLANDS WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH 1215 PM...AND THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ACROSS THESE
ISLANDS.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
LAT...LON 1827 6470 1830 6509 1843 6511 1840 6500
1845 6489 1840 6484 1840 6467 1836 6463
1831 6463
$$
EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
919 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
VIC020-030-140415-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0211.081014T0119Z-081014T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
919 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN AND SAINT THOMAS
* UNTIL 1215 AM AST
* AT 915 THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVING
QUICKLY TOWARDS THESE ISLANDS WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ALREADY
OCCURRED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH 1215 PM...AND THIS RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING ACROSS THESE
ISLANDS.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
LAT...LON 1827 6470 1830 6509 1843 6511 1840 6500
1845 6489 1840 6484 1840 6467 1836 6463
1831 6463
$$
EM
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139077
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TD 15:Obs,Preparations,Local Statements,PR,VI,N.Leewards
000
WTNT35 KNHC 140250
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1100 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS STATIONARY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT
340 MILES...550 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TUESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.6 N...69.4 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1001 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
WTNT35 KNHC 140250
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1100 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS STATIONARY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT
340 MILES...550 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TUESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.6 N...69.4 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1001 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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