Calculating CAPE

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supercell1970
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Calculating CAPE

#1 Postby supercell1970 » Sun Dec 28, 2008 2:42 pm

I am having trouble programming CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy).
I am designing a weather program in VBA than can, although seemingly impossible, calculate
CAPE values based on ELR temperatures and Parcel Temperatures lifted thermodynamically
from the ground up, without a weather balloon. But when calculated, the program displays CAPE as
a negative number, such as -1400 Joules/Kilogram. If it were positive, it would be correct. What can
be an alternative?
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Aslkahuna
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Re: Calculating CAPE

#2 Postby Aslkahuna » Sun Dec 28, 2008 9:27 pm

Recheck your equations and make sure all of the signs are correct.

Steve
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Calculating CAPE

#3 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:04 pm

How does one get the lapse rate without a balloon sounding or computer generated sounding?

Just curious.
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wall_cloud
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#4 Postby wall_cloud » Sun Jan 04, 2009 8:29 am

Is it possible that you have the ELR temperatures and Parcel Temperatures transposed in your equation?
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MGC
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Re: Calculating CAPE

#5 Postby MGC » Mon Mar 30, 2009 8:46 pm

Perhaps you must use absolue value in your calculations......MGC
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supercell1970
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#6 Postby supercell1970 » Fri Apr 03, 2009 10:47 pm

The formulas I am using are based on a constant known as the average Environmental Lapse Rate. The adiabatic lapse rate for dry air is approximately 5.4 degrees F for every 1000 Ft. in geometric altitude, while the lapse rate for saturated air is roughly 3.6 degrees F every 1000 Ft. The thermodynamics seem different but this is only a hypothetical assumption. I combine weather wisdom along with the true science of meteorology to teach the computer a more statistically accurate weather forecast. If my theory is correct, then I may be able to teach a machine weather instincts. I somehow have been more than 95% accurate in predicting severe weather than the National Weather Service in League City Texas. With more help from experts, I am certain I can achieve success.
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