How to plot/calculate the Cone of Uncertainty for WP cyclone
Posted: Sat Aug 25, 2012 8:49 pm
Hi all,
Newbie here. This is my first post but I'd been following threads esp on Western Pacific weather forums. I'm a mobile app developer/software engineer from the Philippines. I'm very interested about weather and wanted to create solutions/app that can solve/help weather-related problems. I have already create an Android app focus for Philippine (and partly Western Pacific) called PHWeather (please see: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deta ... .phweather)
Now I want to create new app that will focus more on cyclones in a wider scope. Starting with North Western Pacific Basin (where Philippines belong). I already researched/studied some cyclone/meteorology stuffs but I'm still don't get it all. My question is (stated in the title): "How to plot/calculate the Cone of Uncertainty for WP cyclones?". JTWC and JMA have stated wind radi on each of their forecast tracks but I could not see the uncertainty values. Also, NHC has published about Track Forecast Cone (see here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml) but only for Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins.
Can anyone (esp. meteorologist) tell/teach me how to plot the Cone of Uncertainty for WP cyclones? and where to get those values? Any help will be appreciated.
Thanks.
Newbie here. This is my first post but I'd been following threads esp on Western Pacific weather forums. I'm a mobile app developer/software engineer from the Philippines. I'm very interested about weather and wanted to create solutions/app that can solve/help weather-related problems. I have already create an Android app focus for Philippine (and partly Western Pacific) called PHWeather (please see: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deta ... .phweather)
Now I want to create new app that will focus more on cyclones in a wider scope. Starting with North Western Pacific Basin (where Philippines belong). I already researched/studied some cyclone/meteorology stuffs but I'm still don't get it all. My question is (stated in the title): "How to plot/calculate the Cone of Uncertainty for WP cyclones?". JTWC and JMA have stated wind radi on each of their forecast tracks but I could not see the uncertainty values. Also, NHC has published about Track Forecast Cone (see here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml) but only for Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins.
Can anyone (esp. meteorologist) tell/teach me how to plot the Cone of Uncertainty for WP cyclones? and where to get those values? Any help will be appreciated.
Thanks.