ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#81 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 17, 2012 12:15 pm

wxman57 wrote:Obs across the eastern Caribbean indicate relatively high pressure (1015mb). Just a trace of a wave axis crossing the islands now. No evidence of any rotation. Caribbean remains rather hostile toward development, even more so than when Ernesto, Helene or Isaac moved through. And as for the Gulf, latest models have 50-100 mph winds from TX to FL through early October, signaling that the Gulf is shut down for business. Except for maybe 1-2 more storms in the subtropics north and east of the Caribbean, I think the season is over.



yep the GOM is closed....season over once the westerlies kick in....time to start looking at winter and how much vegetation I am going to loose this year... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#82 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Mon Sep 17, 2012 12:25 pm

ROCK wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Obs across the eastern Caribbean indicate relatively high pressure (1015mb). Just a trace of a wave axis crossing the islands now. No evidence of any rotation. Caribbean remains rather hostile toward development, even more so than when Ernesto, Helene or Isaac moved through. And as for the Gulf, latest models have 50-100 mph winds from TX to FL through early October, signaling that the Gulf is shut down for business. Except for maybe 1-2 more storms in the subtropics north and east of the Caribbean, I think the season is over.



yep the GOM is closed....season over once the westerlies kick in....time to start looking at winter and how much vegetation I am going to loose this year... :lol:


The only place in the CONUS that probably is still at risk for a TC is southern florida as we move into October.
Last edited by Hurricane Alexis on Mon Sep 17, 2012 12:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#83 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 17, 2012 12:45 pm

No more mention. Will it make a comeback or not in NW Caribbean?

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#84 Postby LarryWx » Mon Sep 17, 2012 1:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:No more mention. Will it make a comeback or not in NW Caribbean?

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


The honorable Mr. Stewart no longer even mentioning 92-L is just about as good as Bones declaring it dead.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#85 Postby Blown Away » Mon Sep 17, 2012 1:47 pm

IMO, the beginning of the end to the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season. :(
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#86 Postby superstareporter » Mon Sep 17, 2012 2:24 pm

Blown Away wrote:IMO, the beginning of the end to the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season. :(

Most excellent news!! And I concur

Disclaimer: I know nothing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#87 Postby CourierPR » Mon Sep 17, 2012 2:43 pm

superstareporter wrote:
Blown Away wrote:IMO, the beginning of the end to the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season. :(

Most excellent news!! And I concur

Disclaimer: I know nothing.


It's just the opinion of one person and shouldn't be taken as "official" news. Those of us who live in South Florida can attest to the impact of late September and October storms. When the NHC sends the fat lady out to sing her aria, then I'll believe the season is done.
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#88 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 17, 2012 3:12 pm

Seasons not dead, with the troughs digging down you can easily get a system developing in the western Carib. Sea along the boundary or BOC for that matter.
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#89 Postby Caribwxgirl » Mon Sep 17, 2012 4:04 pm

Well cyclone or no looks like we're gonna be in for some rains in a few days. Hope its not too heavy can't deal with landslides and flooding.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#90 Postby stephen23 » Mon Sep 17, 2012 5:21 pm

I had a quick question. Why are some ove the other models still showing 92l and ships still showing strenghtening is NHC has dropped the watch. On sat it seems like the llc is under the convection at 63w 15n instead of where gfs shows it right over the islands.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#91 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Mon Sep 17, 2012 6:23 pm

For y'all 93L is over in the US forum, in case you were wondering where that went. This isn't spam, it's the same site. :spam:
viewtopic.php?f=24&t=113748&p=2276553#p2276553
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#92 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Mon Sep 17, 2012 7:38 pm

How is this still an invest even though it isn't in the TWO?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#93 Postby Florida1118 » Mon Sep 17, 2012 10:43 pm

Hurricane Alexis wrote:How is this still an invest even though it isn't in the TWO?

They don't need to have it in the TWO to have it as an invest. They usually do, but they can keep tracking it if conditions become better down the line.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#94 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 18, 2012 8:54 am

NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al922012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209181202
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#95 Postby Ken711 » Tue Sep 18, 2012 10:34 am

HurricaneAndrew92 wrote:Track for I92, likely an 125mph hurricane at peak.

http://imageshack.us/a/img802/2847/td15.png

Hopefully we'll be laughing at this forecast in 5 days.


Glad this was wrong.
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