WPAC: BOPHA - Remnants

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re:

#241 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:00 am

dexterlabio wrote:could this be the start of an RI? or is even RI possible? :roll: it is developing a cold dense overcast on its center.


Looking at the microwave imagery, I'd say an RI had already began, Bopha developed a very compact eyewall and it's going to explode today
0 likes   

User avatar
Crostorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2060
Age: 49
Joined: Mon Dec 25, 2006 3:51 pm
Location: Croatia-Europe
Contact:

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#242 Postby Crostorm » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:02 am

Another one

Image
0 likes   

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#243 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:07 am

Crostorm wrote:Another one

Image


The CDO is very impressive!
0 likes   

Typhoon Hunter
WesternPacificWeather.com
WesternPacificWeather.com
Posts: 1215
Age: 40
Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
Location: Hong Kong
Contact:

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#244 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:28 am

Looks like RI to me too, I arrive in Palau tomorrow afternoon around 6pm!
0 likes   
James - Documenting typhoons...

http://www.youtube.com/TyphoonHunter

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#245 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:38 am

Jeez it sure is RI-ing...a small eye showing up on visible and IR satloop, that quick. :eek:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/guamloops/guamir.html
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#246 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:42 am

JTWC keeps Bopha at 65kts, should be stronger than that

WTPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 4.2N 144.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.2N 144.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 5.0N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 5.8N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 6.4N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 7.0N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUS
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#247 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:51 am

Excited to see what's gonna be in your footage! A small island would be a good setting to capture intense moments. Best of luck.

But I hope this pops out like a bubble before even touching the Philippines, i am kinda worried about our hub back in Manila...what if it goes there before we come back and all the christmas stuff are at the yard. :roll:

Typhoon Hunter wrote:Looks like RI to me too, I arrive in Palau tomorrow afternoon around 6pm!



About the latest JTWC warning...well I believe they haven't accounted the small eye already evident on satellite imagery yet. The next sat fix will tell if they also see what we are seeing in here. I hate to say this but Bopha may have a good shot to STY status at this rate...of course if conditions remain favorable...

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Typhoon Hunter
WesternPacificWeather.com
WesternPacificWeather.com
Posts: 1215
Age: 40
Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
Location: Hong Kong
Contact:

#248 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:56 am

I agree Dexter, wouldn't be surprised if Bopha makes a shot a super. I'll keep the forum updated best I can when I'm in Palau regarding Bopha's effects!
0 likes   
James - Documenting typhoons...

http://www.youtube.com/TyphoonHunter

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#249 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:05 am

^well IF it did go super even before passing the island of Palau, it will be nasty...and maybe a record setter for the only storm to reach that status at such a low latitude.

Bopha is starting to look more and more impressive and I just can't go to sleep.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#250 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:21 am

PINHOLE EYE ALERT!
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#251 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:22 am

Although the forecast track has Bopha directly over Palau, I still think it could escape from the worst, Bopha is a relatively small typhoon so it's a problem of hit or miss. I've looked at your footages and many of them seem to be not shot at the best location.

But anyway,goodluck Typhoon Hunter! stay safe!
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#252 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:26 am

oh boy here we go again...another strong typhoon with an extremely underestimated intensity...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#253 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:27 am

000
WTPQ31 PGUM 301258
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262012
1100 PM CHST FRI NOV 30 2012

...TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) STILL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE AND KOROR
AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP ISLAND IN YAP STATE
AND SONSOROL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING SUSTAINED
WINDS GREATER THAN 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48
HOURS.

AT 1000 PM CHST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON BOPHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 4.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.3 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 545 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
560 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YAP
710 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR PALAU AND KAYANGEL
835 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL.

TYPHOON BOPHA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 MPH...AND LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THIS MOVEMENT DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE STILL 75 MPH. TYPHOON BOPHA IS EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20
MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM POSITION...4.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND
144.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12
MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY FOR TYPHOON BOPHA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 AM CHST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...
FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 500 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

SIMPSON
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#254 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:29 am

Wow these numbers are skyrocketing :eek:




UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 NOV 2012 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 4:13:00 N Lon : 143:31:51 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.4 / 964.7mb/ 99.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.4 6.4 6.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :<10 km

Center Temp : -25.4C Cloud Region Temp : -77.0C

Scene Type : PINHOLE EYE
0 likes   

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#255 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:30 am

Image


WTPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 4.2N 144.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.2N 144.3E

REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 143.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 26W (BOPHA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 605 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 26 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.
//
NNNN


PROGNOSTIC REASONING


WDPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 20//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 26W (BOPHA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 605 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR)
DEPICTS TIGHTLY CURVED SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING AROUND A GROWING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
POSITION FIXES FROM PGTW AND RJTD, WHICH ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF THE
SAME FROM ALL AGENCIES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TY 26W IS
SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS, WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE, LOW (10 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND A POINT SOURCE OVERHEAD PROVIDING
FAVORABLE RADIAL OUTFLOW. THIS OUTFLOW IS READILY APPARENT IN THE
ANIMATED WATER VAPOR LOOP. ADDITIONALLY, THE UPPER-LEVEL WARM CORE
ANOMALY HAS INCREASED TO PLUS FOUR DEGREES, INDICATIVE OF A STRONG
VERTICAL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO TRACK WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE DEEP-LAYERED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. TY 26W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD AS IT MOVES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CURRENT
STEERING RIDGE. CONTINUED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS,
INCLUDING FAVORABLE OUTFLOW, LOW VWS, AND PASSAGE OVER VERY WARM
WATER, SHOULD ALLOW FOR STEADY INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK NEAR 110
KNOTS BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE HAS REMAINED IN FAIR
AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 72, WITH ALL MODELS INDICATING A NEAR CONSTANT
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS
PORTION OF THE TRACK FORECAST.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE STR, WHICH WILL DEVELOP IN
RESPONSE TO A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EAST CHINA SEA. BY
TAU 96 THE INTENSITY SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES. BY TAU 120, INTERACTION WITH THE
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND INCREASING VWS WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO CONSENSUS, BUT ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND POLEWARD IN FAVOR OF THE GFS, ECMWF, AND UKMET
MODEL SOLUTIONS, WHICH DEPICT SLIGHTLY MORE WEAKENING IN THE STR
VERSUS NOGAPS AND GFDN WHICH ARE TOO FAST DUE TO A STRONGER STR.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DURING THIS PERIOD DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY OF THE DEPTH AND POSITION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING
AND ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT THIS TIME.//
NNNN
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#256 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:32 am

supercane4867 wrote:Wow these numbers are skyrocketing :eek:




UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 NOV 2012 Time : 143000 UTC
Lat : 4:13:00 N Lon : 143:31:51 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.4 / 964.7mb/ 99.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.4 6.4 6.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :<10 km

Center Temp : -25.4C Cloud Region Temp : -77.0C

Scene Type : PINHOLE EYE



indeed....Raw T indicating a category 4 already!

Image

rapid intensification occuring at the moment...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

stormstrike
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 159
Joined: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:37 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#257 Postby stormstrike » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:57 am

Hey guys. may i ask what's the meaning of Section F in JTWC's satfix? just curious...

TPPN10 PGTW 301517

A. TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA)

B. 30/1430Z

C. 4.3N

D. 143.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T5.0/5.0/D2.0/24HRS STT: D1.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. A RAGGED LG EYE SURROUNDED
AND EMBEDDED IN W YIELDS A DT OF 6.0. MET IS 4.5 AND PT IS 5.0.
DBO PT DUE TO CONSTRAINTS

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#258 Postby dexterlabio » Fri Nov 30, 2012 10:59 am

stormstrike wrote:Hey guys. may i ask what's the meaning of Section F in JTWC's satfix? just curious...

TPPN10 PGTW 301517

A. TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA)

B. 30/1430Z

C. 4.3N

D. 143.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T5.0/5.0/D2.0/24HRS STT: D1.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. A RAGGED LG EYE SURROUNDED
AND EMBEDDED IN W YIELDS A DT OF 6.0. MET IS 4.5 AND PT IS 5.0.
DBO PT DUE TO CONSTRAINTS

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE



That shows the DT number. Previously it was a 4.0, which translates to a 65-kt typhoon...and the DT number increased by 2 within the past 24 hours. The number increased in just a short period of time so it basically means a quick strengthening.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 18547
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#259 Postby euro6208 » Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:04 am

000
WTPQ31 PGUM 301527
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262012
200 AM CHST SAT DEC 1 2012

...TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) CONTINUING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE AND KOROR
AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP ISLAND IN YAP STATE
AND SONSOROL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING SUSTAINED
WINDS GREATER THAN 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48
HOURS.

AT 100 AM CHST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON BOPHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 4.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.8 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 510 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
525 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YAP
675 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR PALAU AND KAYANGEL
800 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL.

TYPHOON BOPHA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 MPH...AND LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THIS MOVEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 75 MPH. TYPHOON BOPHA IS EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 100 AM POSITION...4.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.8
DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH
WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 5 AM CHST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM.

$$

AYDLETT
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

stormstrike
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 159
Joined: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:37 am

Re: WPAC: BOPHA - Severe Tropical Storm

#260 Postby stormstrike » Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:05 am

dexterlabio wrote:
stormstrike wrote:Hey guys. may i ask what's the meaning of Section F in JTWC's satfix? just curious...

TPPN10 PGTW 301517

A. TYPHOON 26W (BOPHA)

B. 30/1430Z

C. 4.3N

D. 143.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T5.0/5.0/D2.0/24HRS STT: D1.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. A RAGGED LG EYE SURROUNDED
AND EMBEDDED IN W YIELDS A DT OF 6.0. MET IS 4.5 AND PT IS 5.0.
DBO PT DUE TO CONSTRAINTS

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE



That shows the DT number. Previously it was a 4.0, which translates to a 65-kt typhoon...and the DT number increased by 2 within the past 24 hours. The number increased in just a short period of time so it basically means a quick strengthening.


thanks! so now that it says 5.0..what's its current intensity translated into kts?
0 likes   


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests