ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon

[drezee]

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1055 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion on
the low pressure area near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity has increased since yesterday in association with the low
pressure area centered near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. In
addition, surface observations indicate that the circulation has
become better defined, with winds near 35 mph over water to the
east and south of the center. While upper-level winds are at best
marginally conducive, there is some potential for a tropical
cyclone to form later today or tonight as the low moves
northeastward along the coasts of South and North Carolina. After
tonight, the low is expected to move into the open Atlantic Ocean
and merge with a frontal system. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains and gusty winds will spread along the coastal areas of
South and North Carolina today and tonight. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts and local
forecast office products issued by the National Weather Service.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

[floridasun78]

i guess fight be cancel if low dont move over water few hour what i was told their don't fly over land low only when go over water

[Alyono]

URNT15 KNHC 041814
AF304 01DDA INVEST HDOB 19 20150804
180500 3346N 07711W 9773 00340 0161 +236 +183 200051 052 037 003 03
180530 3344N 07710W 9769 00345 0162 +232 +189 202052 053 038 001 00
180600 3343N 07709W 9770 00345 0163 +226 +196 205048 051 037 000 03
180630 3341N 07708W 9773 00344 0164 +228 +198 206045 047 034 001 03
180700 3340N 07707W 9767 00347 0164 +228 +201 207040 045 032 000 00
180730 3338N 07705W 9774 00344 0166 +230 +204 206038 040 031 000 00
180800 3337N 07704W 9772 00347 0167 +232 +204 205036 038 030 001 00
180830 3335N 07703W 9770 00347 0165 +234 +204 204036 038 031 000 00
180900 3334N 07702W 9782 00338 0164 +236 +200 204039 041 032 001 03
180930 3332N 07701W 9766 00352 0165 +235 +202 203039 040 033 000 03
181000 3331N 07701W 9774 00344 0164 +236 +201 206039 041 034 000 00
181030 3329N 07700W 9768 00350 0166 +236 +200 206039 040 034 000 00
181100 3327N 07659W 9780 00340 0166 +237 +201 203037 040 036 001 03
181130 3326N 07659W 9768 00351 0169 +235 +204 200035 036 035 000 03
181200 3324N 07659W 9769 00353 0169 +235 +204 199037 038 034 000 00
181230 3322N 07659W 9772 00349 0168 +233 +209 198037 038 033 001 00
181300 3321N 07659W 9772 00347 0166 +235 +206 199037 038 035 003 03
181330 3319N 07700W 9773 00344 0165 +236 +205 200039 041 038 001 00
181400 3317N 07700W 9773 00345 0164 +237 +204 200038 041 038 002 00
181430 3316N 07700W 9772 00347 0166 +238 +202 199039 040 037 002 00

URNT15 KNHC 041824
AF304 01DDA INVEST HDOB 20 20150804
181500 3314N 07700W 9768 00350 0166 +237 +203 199037 039 036 001 03
181530 3312N 07700W 9769 00351 0167 +236 +207 199036 038 034 000 03
181600 3311N 07659W 9768 00353 0168 +237 +203 199037 038 034 000 00
181630 3309N 07658W 9768 00353 0169 +241 +196 198037 038 034 001 03
181700 3307N 07657W 9769 00350 0170 +238 +202 192034 037 036 001 00
181730 3306N 07658W 9772 00352 0172 +236 +206 192032 034 036 001 00
181800 3304N 07658W 9772 00351 0173 +236 +206 193033 034 036 000 00
181830 3303N 07659W 9774 00350 0173 +235 +206 193032 034 033 000 03
181900 3301N 07700W 9768 00357 0174 +235 +207 193032 033 034 000 00
181930 3300N 07701W 9771 00355 0174 +236 +204 194034 034 033 001 00
182000 3258N 07703W 9770 00357 0174 +235 +208 194035 036 034 000 03
182030 3257N 07704W 9768 00357 0174 +235 +204 198038 038 034 000 03
182100 3256N 07705W 9772 00353 0174 +235 +201 197037 038 035 001 00
182130 3254N 07706W 9780 00347 0174 +235 +203 200036 037 037 000 03
182200 3254N 07708W 9778 00340 0166 +235 +209 195038 040 /// /// 03
182230 3255N 07709W 9772 00345 0164 +232 +211 198037 040 029 000 00
182300 3256N 07711W 9769 00347 0163 +232 +212 198036 038 027 000 00
182330 3257N 07713W 9778 00340 0165 +225 +213 209033 034 028 000 00
182400 3257N 07714W 9770 00345 0164 +223 +207 212037 038 034 000 00
182430 3258N 07716W 9768 00347 0164 +228 +196 210039 040 033 000 00


URNT15 KNHC 041834
AF304 01DDA INVEST HDOB 21 20150804
182500 3259N 07717W 9769 00345 0164 +227 +189 207039 040 032 000 03
182530 3300N 07719W 9771 00344 0163 +220 +198 206037 038 031 000 03
182600 3301N 07720W 9768 00344 0161 +223 +197 205039 039 030 002 03
182630 3302N 07722W 9769 00343 0157 +228 +197 205039 041 034 000 03
182700 3302N 07723W 9769 00339 0155 +234 +194 207041 042 034 000 03
182730 3303N 07725W 9770 00338 0153 +238 +186 206043 044 033 000 00
182800 3303N 07727W 9768 00339 0152 +238 +175 206043 044 034 000 00
182830 3304N 07728W 9772 00334 0152 +233 +182 205043 044 034 000 00
182900 3304N 07730W 9771 00335 0154 +226 +192 203039 041 031 001 00
182930 3304N 07732W 9775 00334 0156 +225 +195 207038 039 031 001 03
183000 3305N 07733W 9768 00339 0154 +234 +192 205040 041 033 000 03
183030 3305N 07735W 9767 00339 0154 +218 +206 201038 039 034 001 03
183100 3306N 07737W 9772 00334 0152 +221 +206 196037 038 032 003 00
183130 3306N 07739W 9770 00338 0154 +223 +203 199036 037 030 000 00
183200 3306N 07740W 9768 00338 0152 +225 +204 201037 038 030 000 00
183230 3307N 07742W 9769 00336 0152 +225 +205 203035 036 030 000 00
183300 3307N 07744W 9771 00336 0152 +229 +201 205038 041 032 000 00
183330 3308N 07745W 9768 00339 0152 +227 +202 206037 041 032 000 00
183400 3308N 07747W 9775 00330 0151 +227 +203 207037 039 031 000 00
183430 3308N 07749W 9770 00334 0150 +230 +200 209037 038 033 000 00

URNT15 KNHC 041844
AF304 01DDA INVEST HDOB 22 20150804
183500 3309N 07750W 9770 00332 0149 +231 +201 206035 036 034 000 03
183530 3309N 07752W 9771 00333 0150 +227 +203 207034 036 032 000 03
183600 3309N 07754W 9769 00333 0150 +226 +205 205033 034 036 004 00
183630 3309N 07756W 9772 00330 0149 +227 +207 206032 033 037 005 00
183700 3309N 07757W 9771 00332 0149 +223 +211 206032 033 039 017 00
183730 3309N 07759W 9767 00334 0150 +214 +212 205031 033 043 007 00
183800 3309N 07801W 9775 00327 0148 +220 +213 207032 032 042 006 00
183830 3309N 07802W 9766 00333 0148 +223 +215 210028 032 034 001 03
183900 3310N 07804W 9773 00330 0148 +230 +208 231023 025 024 003 00
183930 3311N 07805W 9765 00334 0147 +228 +206 230022 023 024 000 00
184000 3312N 07807W 9771 00329 0145 +230 +202 228023 024 024 000 00
184030 3313N 07808W 9774 00325 0144 +231 +200 230022 023 024 000 00
184100 3314N 07809W 9772 00328 0144 +230 +202 230023 024 022 000 00
184130 3315N 07810W 9767 00330 0144 +227 +207 225020 022 019 000 00
184200 3316N 07812W 9776 00324 0145 +227 +205 224020 021 020 000 00
184230 3317N 07813W 9768 00330 0143 +226 +205 229019 020 020 000 03
184300 3319N 07814W 9773 00324 0142 +225 +204 228020 020 019 000 00
184330 3320N 07815W 9772 00327 0143 +225 +203 227021 021 020 000 00
184400 3321N 07816W 9772 00325 0142 +225 +198 233023 024 020 000 03
184430 3322N 07817W 9769 00327 0141 +229 +192 234024 024 019 000 00

[TheStormExpert]