EPAC: INVEST 93E

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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 93E

#21 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 09, 2015 6:42 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 9 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located
about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula has changed little in organization since
yesterday. Some development of this system is still possible during
the next day or two while it moves westward at around 10 mph, but
drier air and unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to inhibit
development after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 93E

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 09, 2015 7:24 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 9 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite images indicate that the broad area of low pressure
located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula has degraded into a trough. Development
of this system is unlikely due to an increasingly unfavorable
environment while it moves westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Blake
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#23 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 11, 2015 12:29 pm

Looks almost there. Please form.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have increased since yesterday. However,
significant development of this system is unlikely due to
increasingly unfavorable upper-level winds while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 93E

#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 11, 2015 1:15 pm

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized this
morning in association with an area of low pressure located about
1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. While environmental conditions are expected to become
increasingly unfavorable for development, this system could become a
tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
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#25 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 11, 2015 5:11 pm

Just went poof. LLC is naked.
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#26 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 12, 2015 12:34 am

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become minimal in association
with a low pressure area located about 1500 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of
the low seems unlikely before environmental conditions become
unfavorable on Wednesday while the low moves westward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
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#27 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 12, 2015 11:25 am

Shower and thunderstorm activity increased overnight in association
with a low pressure area located about 1550 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. However,
development of this low seems unlikely before environmental
conditions become less favorable later today while it moves westward
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

It's trying but organized convection hasn't been able to persist.
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#28 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 12, 2015 2:00 pm

2. Shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased this morning in
association with a low pressure area located about 1300 miles
east of the Big Island of Hawaii. Development of this system is
unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions while it moves
westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 93E

#29 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 12, 2015 6:49 pm

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located about 1250 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii remain
poorly organized. Development of this system is unlikely due to
unfavorable environmental conditions while it moves westward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
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#30 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 12, 2015 8:01 pm

Impressive that it has lasted this long.
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Re:

#31 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 12, 2015 11:03 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Impressive that it has lasted this long.


I think it's done now.
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