ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

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Gustywind
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#21 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 8:10 pm

Tenacious Danny heading towards the butterfly island.

WTNT34 KNHC 232351
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
800 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...CENTER OF DANNY EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS EARLY MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 59.3W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM E OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 59.3 West. Danny is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On
the forecast track, the center will move near or over the southern
Leeward Islands late tonight or early Monday, and into the
northeastern Caribbean Sea on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Danny
is expected to become a tropical depression tonight or Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
warning area overnight and early Monday. Tropical storm conditions
are possible elsewhere over the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe
northward overnight.

RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over
the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#22 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:43 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 59.8W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM E OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Watch for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the
U.S. Virgin Islands has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#23 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 24, 2015 4:58 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 AM AST MON AUG 24 2015

...DANNY SLOWS DOWN AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 60.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ENE OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and
Nevis.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao indicates that a Tropical
Storm Warning is in effect for Saba and St. Eustatius.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Maarten
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#24 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 24, 2015 5:04 am

Since one hour, numerous ligthings, strong showers, thunder are observed near Basse-Terre given observations from friends in this area.
Nothing special in my location for the moment... some showers, isolated rumbling of the thunder , also lightnings.
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 24, 2015 6:54 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
800 AM AST MON AUG 24 2015

...DANNY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 61.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM S OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The tropical storm watch for St. Maarten is discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#26 Postby msbee » Mon Aug 24, 2015 8:38 am

not even any rain here in St Maarten
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#27 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 24, 2015 9:06 am

msbee wrote:not even any rain here in St Maarten

Hi my Msbee :) :D :eek: That's surprising, let's hope that rain could reactivate during the next hours and spread more north towards your area... And even in Guadeloupe amount are not really impressive but slightly sufficient to take minor breath for now. May be the next hours could bring more rain, we will see, keeping our fingers crossed.

Here is the latest report related to rainfall in Guadeloupe related to TS Danny

Le Raizet (airport station): 37,5 milimeters

Anse-Bertrand: 15,1 millimeters

Viard Sainte-Rose: 39,3 millimeters

Bellevue Pointe-Noire: 45,1 millimeters

Terre de Haut ( Les Saintes): 19 millimeters

Grand Bourg ( Marie-Galante): 10 millimeters

Maximum Wind gust: 58km/h at la Désirade
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#28 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 24, 2015 9:39 am

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 24 2015

...DANNY DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY..


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 62.0W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF GUADELOUPE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
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#29 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 24, 2015 11:26 am

Good news my friends :)! :woo:
Guadeloupe have back off the orange alert, return to yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and thunderstorms. Maybe a return in green code this afternoon if things improved more quickly.
Danny was a kind little boy even if he showed us briefly its teeth as a dangerous cat 3 cane :eek:
Fortunately and thanks to Lord, the butterfly island of Guadeloupe seems to be often spared. Should this trend continue because of 98L is churning at the horizon while we lack of decent amount of water. Whereas, i hope sincerely that the others carib friends will get some big rains from a next rainmarker. Thirsty we are, please give us some beneficials rains!
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#30 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 25, 2015 7:53 am

Plenty of rain falling in PR Yes!

Image
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#31 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 25, 2015 7:55 am

cycloneye wrote:Plenty of rain falling in PR Yes!

Image

:woo: glad to see that Cycloneye! :)
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