ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

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ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:30 am

Post away those that will be affected by Danny.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

...DANNY STILL SLOWLY WEAKENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 52.0W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a tropical storm
watch for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla.

The Meteorological Service of Curacao has issued a tropical storm
watch for Saba and St. Eustatius.

The Meteorological Service of St. Maarten has issued a tropical
storm watch for St. Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
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#2 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:32 am

Waouw, fast and furious...you're a Genius Cycloneye :) You have already create that pretty interresting topic! Good job as usual :wink: Thanks :D
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#3 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:47 am

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
HURRICANE DANNY WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:45 AM ECT SAT AUG 22 2015


THIS IS FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA

...DANNY WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE, FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 48 HOURS. A STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

RESIDENTS SHOULD FULLY EXECUTE THEIR STORM PLANS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

DANNY IS MOVING FURTHER INTO A HOSTILE UPPER-LEVEL WIND ENVIRONMENT. HENCE, THE WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SUNDAY WITH FURTHER WEAKENING BEFORE REACHING OUR ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING.

AT 11 AM ECT OR 1500 UTC, THE CENTRE OF WEAKENING HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST OR ABOUT 655 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

DANNY REMAINS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTRE, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB OR 29.06 INCHES.

ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, DANNY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA EARLY MONDAY AND OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.

DANNY COULD IMPACT THE ISLANDS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 60 MPH OR LESS, BUT PEAK GUSTS OF AROUND 80 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MODERATE FLOODING COULD OCCUR AND A FLOOD WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MONDAY.

LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PASSAGE OF DANNY. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 3.7 METRES OF 12 FEET. MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE FOR THEIR VESSELS BY SUNDAY.

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE BULLTIN COMING OUT OF THE MET OFFICE FOR STORM SPECIFIC INFORMATION TAILORED FOR OUR ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM ECT POSITION, 15.4 N, 52.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY FROM THE MET OFFICE WILL BE AT AROUND 2:45 PM ECT

CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN
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#4 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 22, 2015 12:15 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
HURRICANE DANNY ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
12:30 PM ECT SAT AUG 22 2015

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

...DANNY WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE, FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD STAND READY TO FULLY EXECUTE THEIR STORM PLANS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

DANNY IS MOVING FURTHER INTO A HOSTILE UPPER-LEVEL WIND ENVIRONMENT. HENCE, THE WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SUNDAY WITH FURTHER WEAKENING BEFORE REACHING THE ISLANDS LATE MONDAY.

AT 11 AM ECT OR 1500 UTC, THE CENTRE OF WEAKENING HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TORTOLA.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

DANNY REMAINS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTRE, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB OR 29.06 INCHES.

ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, DANNY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MONDAY.

DANNY COULD IMPACT THE ISLANDS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 50 MPH OR LESS, BUT PEAK GUSTS OF AROUND 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MODERATE FLOODING COULD OCCUR AND A FLOOD WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MONDAY.

LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PASSAGE OF DANNY. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 3.7 METRES OF 12 FEET. MARINERS WILL NEED TO SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE FOR THEIR VESSELS.

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE BULLTIN COMING OUT OF THE MET OFFICE FOR STORM SPECIFIC INFORMATION TAILORED FOR OUR ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM ECT POSITION, 15.4 N, 52.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY FROM THE MET OFFICE WILL BE AT AROUND 2:45 PM ECT

CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#5 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 22, 2015 12:53 pm

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
200 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT APPROACHING DANNY...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 52.4W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of France has issued a tropical storm watch for
Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin


A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
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#6 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:33 pm

EOC Meets Saturday to Review National Preparations for Hurricane Danny
22 Aug 2015 |
Published in Soualiga News Today |

:rarrow: http://www.soualiganewsday.com/local/so ... danny.html

GREAT BAY, (DCOMM) – A meeting of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) was convened on Saturday at the Fire & Ambulance Building in Cay Hill where the various Emergency Support Functions (ESFs) gave briefings with respect to preparations for Hurricane Danny.

The meeting was opened by Prime Minister Marcel Gumbs and the National Disaster Coordinator Clive Richardson.

The Meteorological Department of St. Maarten informed the EOC about the latest information from the National Hurricane Center. The country is now under a Tropical Storm Watch. Despite Hurricane Danny is weakening, the community (residents, businesses) are advised to take the necessary measures and prepare for tropical storm conditions. Hurricane Danny is forecast to pass the country on Monday.

Residents are advised to have a first aid kit handy; residents are also reminded that during the height of the passing of the storm, requests for emergency assistance will be limited due to the safety of the personnel from the emergency services with respect to being able to navigate through dangerous conditions.

A national address will take place on Sunday at 1.00PM from the Government Administration Building and will be rebroadcasted every hour via the local radio stations with a rebroadcast via St. Maarten Cable TV Channel 20 from 3.00PM to 11.00PM.

GEBE – ESF 1

Residents are advised to fill up water containers and have bottled water as a back-up in case water national water supply grid has to be shut down as a precautionary measure. GEBE has already taken measures to fill the water tanks throughout the country.

Ministry VROMI – ESF 3

The ministry reports that the mouths of various ponds have been opened as a precautionary measure; floodgates have been tested and water levels in the Fresh Water Pond have been reduced; the three storm water pumps have been tested and are in standby mode; the landfill has been prepared and is ready; the clearing of trenches continues and road closures are being coordinated with the Police.

Ministry VROMI is overseeing the clearing of certain areas along the Ring Road with respect to trenches. Drivers are advised to stay off the Ring Road.

Police Force – ESF 5

Members of the Police Force are on standby and building infrastructure has been prepared. Police Sub Stations in Maho, Cole Bay and Simpson Bay will be open and accessible to the public in case of an emergency. The Voluntary Corps of Sint Maarten will be working with the Police and military assistance that was requested has been approved and the marines will be assisting the national police where necessary.

The Marines will be based in Pointe Blanche. They are ready to assist in carrying out any damage assessment and remain on standby for any assistance that will be required.

Ministry of Public Health (VSA) – ESF 6 & 7

SMMC Medical Center operating, outpatient clinic and dialysis department as well as the administrative department will be closed on Monday. Dialysis for patients will take place on Sunday, August 23.

Services continue at the While & Yellow Cross, but the educational facility and psycho geriatric center are closed as a precautionary measure.

Hurricane shelters will only be opened based on the decision of the EOC after evaluating weather reports and forecast. Those who feel unsafe at home should prepare early and make arrangements with family or friends.

The listing of hurricane shelters are: New Testament Baptist Church (A.C. Cannegieter Street, Philipsburg), Sr. Marie-Laurence School (Ellis drive 1, Middle Region), St. Maarten Academy (Cupper drive, Cul de Sac), Milton Peters College (L.B. Scott, South Reward), Rupert I. Maynard Youth Community Centre (St. Peters road, St. Peters), Leonard Connor School (Venus drive, Cay Bay), Allan C. Halley Community Centre (Simpson Bay road 27, Simpson Bay), The Salvation Army Building (Union road 59, Cole Bay), Christian Fellowship Church (Welfare road 95, Cole Bay).

Ministry of General Affairs – ESF 9

Measures have been taken to protect all Government buildings and infrastructure and generators are on standby.

Ministry TEATT – ESF 10

No flights have been canceled at this point in time. Port St. Maarten remains operational. Both ports of entry continue to monitor closely the progress of Hurricane Danny. The Tourist Bureau has been in contact with hotels with respect to their preparedness status and measures.

Another meeting of the EOC is planned for late Sunday morning.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#7 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 22, 2015 3:48 pm

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT DANNY CONTINUING TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 53.3W
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings may be required for portions
of these areas tonight or Sunday.
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#8 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 22, 2015 6:07 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
HURRICANE DANNY ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
6:30 PM ECT SAT, AUG 22, 2015

THIS IS FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

....HURRICANE DANNY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA . A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE POSTED ON SUNDAY.

AT 5 PM ECT OR 2100Z THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST OR ABOUT 662 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF ANGUILLA.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MILES PER HOUR. A TURN TOWARDS THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK DANNY SHOULD BE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE SUNDAY OR ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MILES PER HOUR. DANNY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS DANNY CROSSES THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTRE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB OR 29.27 INCHES.

BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, HURRICANE DANNY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE ISLANDS. THIS MEANS THAT LESS WIND CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 KTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH POSSIBLE HIGHER GUSTS TO 45 KTS.

ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF DANNY.

REPEATING THE 5:00 PM ECT POSITION, 15.8 N, 53.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THEWEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 8:30 ECT

CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

FORECASTER KEITHLEY MEADE
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 22, 2015 9:46 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

...DANNY WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 54.7W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48
hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings could be required for
portions of these areas on Sunday.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#10 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:57 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
800 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 56.7W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected, in this case within the next 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings could be required for
portions of these areas later this morning.
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#11 Postby gatorcane » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:32 am

really curious what kind of conditions you guys get out of this. Please post your obs!
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:41 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 57.3W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques,
Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.


The government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#13 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 9:56 am

cycloneye wrote:BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 57.3W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques,
Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.


The government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands

:eek: Curiously i don't understand why they have discontinued the Watch for Guadeloupe even for St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin. I'm very surprised, maybe they see something we don't see. A very risky way to face the assaults of TS in the area.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#14 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:41 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
200 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY HEADED FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 58.1W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
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#15 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:38 pm

From our daily newspaper called "FranceAntilles"

Tropical storm Danny in approach, passing vigilance orange

Sunday, August 23, 2015 - 12 h 00

:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.aspx

Danny weakened overnight to tropical storm.
It moves westward at about 24 mph. This amendment to the trajectory to the west will certainly pass the eye on Northern Grande-Terre or in its vicinity.
The speed of the maximum sustained wind (or moderate winds) is around 85 kph with higher gusts.
The minimum of the central pressure is 1003 millibars.
Danny remains a storm still compact with winds of force storm (> 64 kph) extending to about 95 km from the center.
The phenomenon remains capricious which can still surprise us.
Danny will approach our islands early in the night from Sunday to Monday because it moves faster.
The South of Guadeloupe, lying in the southern part of the path, should not undergo impact strong. However, should expect (everywhere) in heavy rain, thunderstorms and wind gusts.
Grande-Terre being dry soils, water will run much before seep into the ground: attention to the brutal floods.
Attention also to the effects of wind and thunderstorms (physically unplug your sensitive devices of the sockets, telephone and Cable TV).

We are in ORANGE vigilance since this morning (Guadeloupe and Northern Islands) for strong winds, heavy rain and thunderstorms.
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#16 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:45 pm

From our daily newspaper called "FranceAntilles"

Closure of the Memorial Act due to storm

Sunday, August 23, 2015 - 1:42 pm

:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 336266.php

Due to the arrival of the storm Danny, Memorial Act will close its doors to the public starting this Sunday, at 15.00. It will reopen Tuesday at 9 o'clock.
Moreover, it is recalled that, during bad weather, access to the seafront (pontoon, belvedere, promenade) is strictly prohibited.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#17 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:53 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
DANNY LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY
NUMBER...CORRECTED
21A...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR AL042015
228 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

PRZ001-240230-
/O.COR.TJSJ.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-
228 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- SAN JUAN AND VICINITY

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
- PEAK WIND FORECAST: 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT
FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH.
- BE SAFE AND PROTECT AGAINST THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED WIND
IMPACTS.
- HAZARDOUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER
MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES
ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN
OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN
URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

* STORM SURGE
- NO STORM SURGE INUNDATION FORECAST

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: NONE
- SURF CONDITIONS MAY STILL BE ROUGH WITH SOME BEACH EROSION.
STRONGER THAN NORMAL RIP CURRENTS MAY ALSO BE PRESENT.
- EXERCISE DUE SAFETY.
- REVIEW YOUR SEASONAL PLAN AND ENSURE READINESS FOR THE NEXT
STORM SURGE EVENT.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: NONE
- LITTLE TO NO POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM STORM SURGE FLOODING.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A THREAT OF
FLOODING.
- BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST FLOODING RAIN
IMPACTS. STAY INFORMED.
- IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, HEED
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. ALSO LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR LONGER-TERM IMPACTS ALONG RIVERS.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS
AND RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH
SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES,
ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS,
CREEKS, CANALS, ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN
FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS
OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON
MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW.
DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.
- BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST THE POTENTIAL
OF LIMITED TORNADO IMPACTS. STAY INFORMED.
- LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO
SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED
- THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH
POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS,
CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR
OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF,
SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN
OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS.
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#18 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 3:44 pm

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY WEAKENING WHILE IT APPROACHES THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 59.0W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#19 Postby abajan » Sun Aug 23, 2015 5:40 pm

Gustywind wrote:
cycloneye wrote:BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 57.3W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques,
Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.


The government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands

:eek: Curiously i don't understand why they have discontinued the Watch for Guadeloupe even for St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin. I'm very surprised, maybe they see something we don't see. A very risky way to face the assaults of TS in the area.
Curious indeed, especially now that Danny's center is expected to pass close to (or directly over) the southern end of Guadeloupe! Even if it's downgraded to a tropical depression by that time, it would still be expected to have tropical storm force gusts.
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Re: ATL: Danny: Obs,preps in Leewards / BVI / USVI / PR

#20 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:12 pm

St Maarten:
Prime Minister Gumbs: All Businesses to close by 10PM Sunday Evening including Restaurants and Casinos until further notice

23 Aug 2015
Published in Soualiga News Today

Prime Minister Marcel Gumbs

PHILIPSBURG – Prime Minister Marcel Gumbs, chairman of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC), received an update on Sunday from members of the EOC about the current status of Tropical Storm Danny. The actions being taken by the Government of Sint Maarten are of a precautionary nature. The Prime Minister gave a national address with respect to the current decisions that have been taken.

“Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Sint Maarten as a precautionary measure. The system is expected to pass further to the south of the country based on information received from Sunday morning.

“Forecast rainfall could be two to four inches. In the event of continuous heavy rainfall, the possibility does exist for land slippages and those living in hillside areas should exercise caution. Due to the drought situation that the country has experienced over the past months, flooding is possible, as the water may not drain directly into the ground.

“Weather conditions are forecasted to deteriorate late Sunday night or early Monday morning.

“Waste haulage companies were busy on Saturday picking up garbage and will continue to do so until Sunday afternoon. GEBE operations based on current data in connection with electricity and water services will continue undisrupted we expect. St. Peters Hurricane Shelter, Rupert Maynard, will be open as a precautionary measure.

“Schools are closed on Monday, August 24 as well as daycare centers. Government services are also closed on Monday, August 24.

“All businesses are to be closed from 10.00PM Sunday evening, August 23 until further notice. This includes restaurants and casinos. The aforementioned decision related to businesses will be evaluated based on the latest weather reports as that becomes available from the Meteorological Services.

“Staff who provides essential services for Hotel operations, the aforementioned can continue to remain open based on the hotel’s disaster plan in providing hospitality services to our visitors.

“Airlines services continue to operate as normal on Sunday. In connection with Monday, August 24, travelers should call their respective airlines for information.

“The landfill will remain open on Sunday until sunset.

“The actions taken to date and in connection for Monday, August 24, are of a precautionary nature to safeguard life and property in the event things should change.

“Let me repeat this once again:

“The actions taken to date and in connection for Monday, August 24, are of a precautionary nature to safeguard life and property in the event things should change.

“I will address the nation at noon on Monday, August 24 to give an update with respect to the situation,” Marcel Gumbs, Prime Minister of Sint Maarten said on Sunday in a national address to the nation.
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