ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HurricaneBelle
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 974
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:12 pm
Location: Clearwater, FL

#281 Postby HurricaneBelle » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:45 pm

While everyone's paying attention to Joaquin, 99L appears to be tightening up on radar as some strong curved bands have developed over the eastern Gulf and a decent circulation about 100 miles west of Tampa is taking shape.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/displ ... duration=4
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#282 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 28, 2015 10:50 pm

If you also go to NWS long range radar as well, you can see and pick out a circulation as you mentioned about 100 miles due west of Clearwater. It will move inland by tomorrow afternoon somewhere in the Apalachee Bay region. As someone mentioned earlier, this will be the fourth system to impact that region of the GOM this season.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#283 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:04 pm

Could the 12Z ECMWF be on to something and we might get Kate before landfall?
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#284 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:05 pm

Interesting evening in the GOM with 2 Low Pressure systems. NHC/WPC surface analysis with the stationary 1005 mb Low just off the Upper TX coast and the 1006 mb Low just west of the Florida Gulf coast moving north-northeast.

Image
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#285 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 28, 2015 11:15 pm

If I am not mistaken, Air Force Reconnaisance aircraft is on its way to investigate 99L and is scheduled to arrive into it very shortly.

EDIT: It appears NHC cancelled that mission late today.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
robbielyn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Joined: Wed May 07, 2003 9:45 am
Location: brooksville, fl

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#286 Postby robbielyn » Tue Sep 29, 2015 5:43 am

HurricaneBelle wrote:
NDG wrote:I got more rain (western Seminole County) today than the Tampa Bay area which is in a flood watch. Received 2" in less than an hr, it was intense.


That radar product can't be completely accurate. It shows a trace throughout Pinellas County where it's been raining almost non-stop (outside of an hour break or so) since about 1:30 PM, and that band that went through Orlando originally came through Clearwater around 2:45, while I was driving and the rainfall was so intense I could hardly see at one point. What's funny is that band petered out as it reached Pasco, then re-intensified late this afternoon near the Hernando-Citrus border as it arced ESE-SE into inland central FL.

thats exactly what happened. totally skipped us here in southern hernando county. I did hear distant thunder though. that line got real strong north of us. hearing thunder right now too.
0 likes   
Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10348
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#287 Postby Sanibel » Tue Sep 29, 2015 10:47 am

Right turn over Florida. Giving me a good downpour as I type.


A small outlflow burst on visible.
0 likes   

SeGaBob

#288 Postby SeGaBob » Tue Sep 29, 2015 5:43 pm

Well 99L is a bust here... all the mentions of heavy rain and not a drop.
Today was supposed to be "the wettest day of the week." It's disappointing when we need some serious rain here. :(
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

#289 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 30, 2015 8:55 am

0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

User avatar
AJC3
Admin
Admin
Posts: 3866
Age: 60
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:04 pm
Location: West Melbourne, Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#290 Postby AJC3 » Thu Oct 01, 2015 3:03 am

For giggles...

The remnant 99L vortex is actually dropping southward through our local marine area. It's now located about 50 miles ESE of Cape Canaveral and can be seen pretty easily on our radar imagery. We tracked it as it moved east across north Florida , where it emerged east of JAX on TUE night, where it turned and started dropping southward since WED morning.
0 likes   


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests