CPAC: INVEST 99C

[jaguarjace]

Here we go.

99C INVEST 151004 1200 12.7N 143.6W CPAC 25 1005

[Yellow Evan]

Looks better than Oho and 8C right now.

[supercane]

000
ACPN50 PHFO 041743
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 AM HST SUN OCT 4 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU...HAWAII...IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OHO...LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES
SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA32 PHFO.

2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-C HAS WEAKENED AND WAS DOWNGRADED TO A
REMNANT LOW. THE WEAK SURFACE LOW WAS CENTERED ABOUT 1170 WEST
SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII AND MOVING SLOWLY WEST. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS JUST OVER 100 MILES NORTH WERE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW ITSELF. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS DO NOT FAVOR REDEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

[Extratropical94]

3. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure about 815 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, have decreased over the past six hours. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for significant development over the next two days as it moves slowly north.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 20 percent.