EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

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Chris_in_Tampa
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#301 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:09 pm

Radar loop through 4:01pm EDT:
http://imgur.com/VZ5Vuog
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#302 Postby wxmann_91 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:11 pm

Kingarabian wrote:With the way it's circling... IF they decide to make a center pass it's going to be so damn dramatic.

At this point I hope they don't... obviously encountered some dicey conditions on the last pass and it'd be dangerous to go for another one... even moreso now that it's so close to land.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#303 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:11 pm

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#304 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:15 pm

Here we go:


000
URPN15 KWBC 232010
NOAA3 0420E PATRICIA HDOB 32 20151023
200030 1713N 10323W 6949 03174 0020 +112 +077 208045 046 039 000 00
200100 1716N 10322W 6951 03169 0023 +108 +081 205045 046 038 000 03
200130 1718N 10324W 6950 03169 0018 +110 +084 205045 047 038 000 00
200200 1719N 10325W 6948 03170 0017 +111 +085 206047 048 038 001 00
200230 1721N 10327W 6949 03169 0015 +111 +086 208048 048 038 000 03
200300 1722N 10329W 6951 03166 0017 +108 +086 209048 048 039 000 03
200330 1722N 10331W 6949 03169 0018 +109 +080 207046 047 035 003 03
200400 1724N 10332W 6949 03165 0016 +110 +079 201045 045 034 000 00
200430 1725N 10334W 6950 03166 0015 +110 +082 200044 045 035 001 00
200500 1727N 10336W 6950 03163 0015 +107 +098 200046 047 036 003 00
200530 1728N 10338W 6947 03165 0015 +105 +097 199046 047 039 001 00
200600 1730N 10339W 6953 03156 0007 +109 +107 199050 051 039 006 00
200630 1731N 10341W 6957 03151 0000 +113 //// 205052 054 040 011 01
200700 1732N 10343W 6944 03165 9995 +115 +113 204047 049 041 010 00
200730 1734N 10345W 6938 03173 9996 +113 +111 198046 049 039 006 00
200800 1735N 10346W 6934 03177 9999 +112 +100 200052 052 038 004 00
200830 1737N 10348W 6933 03176 0002 +108 +102 203052 053 040 002 00
200900 1739N 10350W 6936 03171 9998 +109 +108 201054 056 038 004 00
200930 1740N 10351W 6933 03174 9993 +111 +106 206054 056 039 004 00
201000 1742N 10353W 6934 03169 9995 +109 +100 203051 053 042 002 00
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#305 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:15 pm

Heading back toward center.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#306 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:18 pm

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#307 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:18 pm

So they gathered radar data and waited until the center was as close to land as possible, cleaned stuff up and did a few checks, then decided all was okay for another pass? Perhaps they had some research they wanted to do and that's why they circled? It IS noaa after all.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#308 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:22 pm

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#309 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:22 pm

000
URPN15 KWBC 232020
NOAA3 0420E PATRICIA HDOB 33 20151023
201030 1743N 10355W 6932 03170 9996 +108 +093 203054 056 042 001 00
201100 1745N 10356W 6932 03170 9996 +109 +073 210053 054 042 000 00
201130 1747N 10357W 6936 03164 9991 +112 +072 209053 053 040 001 00
201200 1749N 10359W 6933 03165 9987 +113 +077 205054 054 040 000 00
201230 1751N 10400W 6933 03163 9989 +108 +086 202054 055 041 001 00
201300 1753N 10401W 6932 03162 9990 +105 +089 200055 057 040 001 00
201330 1755N 10402W 6932 03159 9988 +106 +080 200057 058 042 001 00
201400 1758N 10403W 6932 03158 9988 +105 +083 202057 058 045 000 00
201430 1800N 10404W 6933 03156 9986 +104 +080 202059 059 046 001 00
201500 1802N 10405W 6934 03152 9984 +103 +090 200059 059 044 005 00
201530 1804N 10407W 6934 03150 9987 +097 //// 199061 065 046 014 01
201600 1805N 10408W 6940 03139 9981 +098 //// 198056 060 049 010 01
201630 1807N 10410W 6933 03145 9980 +099 //// 204059 063 048 004 01
201700 1808N 10412W 6951 03123 9973 +106 +086 205063 063 049 004 00
201730 1810N 10414W 6962 03106 9968 +107 +090 205065 066 048 003 00
201800 1810N 10416W 6958 03105 9971 +100 +091 205066 067 039 002 00
201830 1811N 10418W 6957 03103 9958 +107 +091 205060 060 036 002 00
201900 1812N 10420W 6959 03097 9953 +109 +087 207061 062 039 002 00
201930 1813N 10422W 6961 03093 9956 +103 +089 204062 064 042 003 00
202000 1814N 10423W 6959 03090 9950 +103 +102 204062 063 043 004 00
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#310 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:22 pm

It could have been about being in the right position, hitting that area again right before the 5pm EDT NHC advisory.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#311 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:24 pm

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#312 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:25 pm

Suffice to say, the NHC advisory may be a bit late.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#313 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:28 pm

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Last edited by Chris_in_Tampa on Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#314 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:31 pm

000
URPN15 KWBC 232030
NOAA3 0420E PATRICIA HDOB 34 20151023
202030 1815N 10425W 6965 03082 9946 +104 //// 203067 070 045 008 01
202100 1816N 10427W 6947 03098 9941 +102 //// 200065 067 049 012 01
202130 1817N 10429W 6924 03125 9932 +106 //// 198061 063 050 014 01
202200 1818N 10431W 6931 03113 9929 +105 //// 196062 067 047 014 01
202230 1819N 10433W 6943 03092 9925 +105 //// 201069 073 046 013 01
202300 1820N 10435W 6950 03081 9921 +106 //// 201070 074 048 009 01
202330 1821N 10437W 6942 03083 9917 +106 +094 204075 076 049 003 00
202400 1822N 10439W 6943 03078 9909 +108 +093 205078 079 051 003 00
202430 1823N 10441W 6946 03069 9899 +110 +101 206079 081 053 004 00
202500 1824N 10443W 6958 03046 9890 +110 +107 205081 082 058 008 00
202530 1826N 10445W 6945 03054 9882 +108 //// 204083 084 067 020 01
202600 1827N 10447W 6959 03021 9873 +102 //// 203084 087 074 041 01
202630 1828N 10448W 6917 03044 9862 +088 //// 215093 097 078 047 01
202700 1828N 10450W 6856 03108 9820 +102 //// 231086 092 083 021 01
202730 1829N 10452W 6873 03081 9797 +115 //// 222075 078 086 016 01
202800 1830N 10454W 6973 02948 9779 +128 //// 217078 080 086 006 01
202830 1832N 10455W 6941 02967 9753 +131 +129 217079 081 086 003 00
202900 1833N 10457W 6916 02981 9727 +135 +111 217085 086 086 001 00
202930 1834N 10459W 6890 02980 9678 +151 +102 217093 095 089 002 00
203000 1835N 10501W 6906 02922 9621 +172 +080 214100 103 088 001 00
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#315 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:34 pm

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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#316 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:38 pm

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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#317 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:42 pm

Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): 142 knots (163.4 mph)
Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 144 knots (165.7 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 131 knots (150.8 mph)
Extrapolated Sfc. Pressure: 902.6 mb (~ 26.66 inHg)
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#318 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:43 pm

000
URPN15 KWBC 232040
NOAA3 0420E PATRICIA HDOB 35 20151023
203030 1836N 10502W 6964 02794 9531 +208 +065 217112 116 103 006 00
203100 1838N 10504W 6951 02736 9445 +220 +060 215130 133 109 013 00
203130 1839N 10505W 6972 02605 9279 +284 +026 210142 144 116 028 00
203200 1840N 10507W 7003 02434 9223 +198 +097 220117 133 117 031 00
203230 1841N 10509W 6945 02405 9101 +206 +185 235074 090 101 013 03
203300 1842N 10510W 6897 02435 9026 +262 +118 263031 043 083 006 03
203330 1844N 10510W 6969 02328 9029 +241 +125 046015 029 080 000 03
203400 1846N 10509W 6935 02408 9095 +200 +148 110053 071 094 004 00
203430 1848N 10508W 6944 02514 9213 +195 +145 123097 105 131 002 00
203500 1849N 10507W 6793 02824 9366 +153 //// 121108 114 127 004 01
203530 1851N 10506W 6693 03049 9446 +177 +073 114123 127 114 001 00
203600 1853N 10505W 6743 03068 9563 +146 +095 113110 112 098 000 00
203630 1855N 10504W 6789 03071 9636 +146 +085 114101 104 094 000 03
203700 1857N 10505W 6902 02966 9683 +146 +093 107091 095 086 001 03
203730 1859N 10507W 6922 02961 9712 +141 +103 100084 086 071 001 00
203800 1901N 10509W 6938 02963 9737 +136 +114 095081 084 067 001 00
203830 1903N 10511W 6937 02981 9761 +132 +116 091075 076 067 001 00
203900 1905N 10513W 6934 03004 9786 +126 +119 085071 073 069 004 00
203930 1906N 10515W 6934 03011 9803 +119 //// 082079 083 070 000 05
204000 1908N 10517W 6923 03020 9804 +117 //// 085090 096 066 021 01
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#319 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:43 pm

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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Recon

#320 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Fri Oct 23, 2015 3:49 pm

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