ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 92, 2016082900, , BEST, 0, 155N, 93W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082906, , BEST, 0, 155N, 111W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082912, , BEST, 0, 155N, 129W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082918, , BEST, 0, 155N, 147W, 15, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016083000, , BEST, 0, 155N, 165W, 20, 1008, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST

Thread at talking tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118204

[Kazmit]

This is the one emerging from Africa?

[ConvergenceZone]

Wow that was quick! The tropics are on FIRE!

[Extratropical94]

This is the one emerging from Africa?

Yup. We might end up spending even more time on this thing than on 99L/09L.

[pgoss11]

I am already loving this season!

[WeatherEmperor]

Lots of long nights await us


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[KatDaddy]

Welcome Invest 92L.

[Steve]

20+ pages while still over land is probably about the same as the 200 with TD #9/99L. I'm going to casually watch for a week or so and see where we're at.

[cycloneye]

A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
moving off the coast of Senegal in western Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of
this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph
over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

[bg1]

The question is: Will this be Hermine, Ian, or Julia? None of the above?

[Kazmit]

I have a feeling this will be a powerful one. Except I wish it was named Ian because it sounds stronger than Julia... even though the last Julia was a Cat 4.

[WeatherOrKnot]

I have a niece named Julia and a nephew, Ian. If storm is anything like kid, this needs to be Ian!

[Gustywind]

That was fast... and furious damn!

[MetroMike]

Let's see if this one can develop without struggles and delays, as many systems have had this year.

[Hammy]

I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?

[Blinhart]

So this one might track like an another monster of the past. Hugo.

[O Town]

[Siker]

I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?

Nah, GFS and Euro and their ensembles both develop this at the same time unlike 99L. I give it 50W.

[Kazmit]

I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?

I hope not. I can't deal with tracking invests for two weeks...

[StormClouds63]

Maybe a Bertha (1996) track ...
https://icons.wxug.com/data/dhc_archive_charts/at_1996_charts/at199602.gif