WPAC: INVEST 95W

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WPAC: INVEST 95W

#1 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 2:58 am

95W INVEST 170729 0600 28.2N 161.4E WPAC 20 1003
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W

#2 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 5:20 am

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 28.2N 161.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 700 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE AND A 290337Z SSMI 85GHZ DEPICT A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED AND BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
CONVECTIVE BANDING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET
BY DECENT OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 30 C). A
282246Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A FEW 20 KNOT WIND BARBS ON THE PERIPHERY
OF VERY PRONOUNCED TROUGHING INDICATIVE OF CIRCULATION FORMING SOON.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT SYSTEM WILL CONSOLIDATE AND MOVE
IN A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS MEDIUM.
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NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:56 am

Image

95W INVEST 170729 1200 29.1N 163.7E WPAC 20 1004
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NWS for the Western Pacific

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:56 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 28.2N 161.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 163.7E, APPROXIMATELY
599 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
AND A 290337Z SSMI 85GHZ DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND BROAD LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20
TO 30 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY DECENT OUTFLOW AND WARM
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 30 C). A 282246Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A
FEW 20 KNOT WIND BARBS ON THE PERIPHERY OF VERY PRONOUNCED
TROUGHING INDICATIVE OF CIRCULATION FORMING SOON. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN AGREEMENT THAT SYSTEM WILL CONSOLIDATE AND MOVE IN A NORTHWARD
TRACK OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
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Posts: 13100
Age: 30
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Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W

#5 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:31 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 28.2N 161.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 163.9E, APPROXIMATELY
720 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE AND A 300322Z SSMI 85GHZ DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND
ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTIVE
BANDING. THE SYSTEM IS CLASSIFIED AS SUBTROPICAL DUE TO ITS
STRUCTURE AND THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SITTING DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG
(30 TO 40 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28 TO 30 C). A 300504Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS A FEW
25 KNOT WIND BARBS ON THE PERIPHERY OF A PRONOUNCED AREA OF
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HRS. THE
SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/


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