ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

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robbielyn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#41 Postby robbielyn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:31 pm

robbielyn wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:Could this open up a weakness for Florence to move north? Break down the ridge? It probably depends on the intensity of the two systems though.

that would make a lot of sense. i was wondering the same thing. i wonder if the models are picking this up as far as florence track. this could be the monkey wrench that could take it either further north or ots.

Or as nhc says it’s is not going to move much maybe making florence go straight west into fl.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#42 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:55 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#43 Postby plasticup » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:18 am

Has anyone seen intensity guidance that actually develops this system? The few models that have run it seem to merge it with Florence (GFS), keep it weak with an open circulation (CMC), or just fail to initialize (several).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#44 Postby artist » Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:00 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#45 Postby artist » Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:09 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#46 Postby artist » Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:59 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#47 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:02 pm

Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished in association with
a trough of low pressure over the western Atlantic near Bermuda.
Significant development of this system is unlikely due to
increasingly strong upper-level winds over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#48 Postby artist » Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:33 pm

94L has now been dropped. I assume they no longer expect it to play a factor in Florence.
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