ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

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ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#1 Postby NotSparta » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:37 am

Looks like 94L is here.

AL942018 - INVEST

201809071200 30 -68.8

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#2 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:45 am

AL, 94, 2018090612, , BEST, 0, 270N, 653W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 90, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 94, 2018090618, , BEST, 0, 276N, 661W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 90, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 94, 2018090700, , BEST, 0, 280N, 671W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 90, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 94, 2018090706, , BEST, 0, 289N, 681W, 20, 1015, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 90, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, ,
AL, 94, 2018090712, , BEST, 0, 300N, 688W, 20, 1015, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1017, 120, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#3 Postby NotSparta » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:48 am

tolakram wrote:Might have been a mistake. We have EIGHT but no 94 yet.


The RAMMB site is showing it as the area of convection Levi Cowan was talking about earlier

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... r=AL942018
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#4 Postby AJC3 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:53 am

I think it's the area being discussed here...

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=119860
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#5 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:55 am

I wonder what the secret is to getting information faster than best track? :)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#6 Postby AJC3 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:57 am

tolakram wrote:I wonder what the secret is to getting information faster than best track? :)


Whatever it is, it hasn't been shared with me... lol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#7 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:58 am

Last week it was crickets, this week locusts
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#8 Postby Blinhart » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:59 am

AJC3 wrote:
tolakram wrote:I wonder what the secret is to getting information faster than best track? :)


Whatever it is, it hasn't been shared with me... lol


Maybe he is Levi.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#9 Postby NotSparta » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:10 am

Blinhart wrote:
AJC3 wrote:
tolakram wrote:I wonder what the secret is to getting information faster than best track? :)


Whatever it is, it hasn't been shared with me... lol


Maybe he is Levi.


Even Levi hasn't figured that out, isn't up on his site yet
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#10 Postby TheAustinMan » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:12 am

Been watching some of the high-resolution shortwave IR/visible/nighttime microphysics on this for a bit. I think based on the cloud motions this morning, 94L already has a weak but closed circulation. Now whether the convective structure and closed circulation are good enough for the tropical cyclone definition... probably not. There are however numerous cumulus streets that trace out the curving westerly to southerly flow south of 94L. Reminds me some of the progenitor to Chris from earlier this year, actually, which had very little model support to begin with. Way more moving parts to deal with this time around though with Florence nearby.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#11 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:18 am

94L.INVEST, VAPOR, 07 SEP 2018 1430Z
UTC (Z)
Tutorials:
Overview
COMET
Vapor
| /SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc18/ATL/94L.INVEST/vapor/geo/1km
20180907.1430.msg4.x.wv1km.94LINVEST.20kts-1015mb-300N-688W.63pc.jpg |

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_h ... PROD=vapor
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#12 Postby abajan » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:18 am

GCANE wrote:Last week it was crickets, this week locusts

That perfectly sums up the situation. :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#13 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:19 am

Image
Last edited by artist on Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#14 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:22 am

Will they wait for the next two or give out a special one?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#15 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:28 am

LL Vort at 30N 69W
Divergent UL Flow over it.


Image

Image

Image
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ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#16 Postby AJC3 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:32 am

Post model guidance here.
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L - Models

#17 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:33 am

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#18 Postby Kazmit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:33 am

This is giving us some much needed thunderstorms and rain today.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#19 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:42 am

As I'm still kinda tracking the diffuse remnants of Gordon, there is honestly almost too much in the basin for me to keep track of right now. What an amazing contrast to most of August; peak to late season has been king lately
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#20 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 10:51 am

The s2k map shows it is directly in Florence’s path.
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