WPAC: INVEST 91W

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euro6208
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WPAC: INVEST 91W

#1 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 10, 2018 12:11 am

91W INVEST 180910 0000 5.0N 173.0E WPAC 15 0

Near the dateline.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W

#2 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Sep 10, 2018 3:34 pm

Convection has been firing up since yesterday.

Image

Image
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:19 pm

For now, the models arent too happy with this.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 8:10 pm

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.1N
165.8E, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 102224Z 89GHZ MHS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A
BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH POCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION
LOCATED OVER IT. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KNOTS),
AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS
CURRENTLY SHOW THE DISTURBANCE TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, BUT DO NOT CURRENTLY SHOW INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 91W

#5 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 12, 2018 5:40 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.1N 165.8E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
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